As assessed over the period of satellite observations, October 1978 to present, there are
downward linear trends in Arctic sea ice extent for all months, largest at the end of the melt …

Thermodynamic ablation of ice in contact with the ocean is an essential element of ice sheet
and ocean interactions but is challenging to model and quantify. Building on earlier …

Interest in seasonal predictions of Arctic sea ice has been increasing in recent years owing,
primarily, to the sharp reduction in Arctic sea-ice cover observed over the last few decades …

Abstract The Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) has recently released a new
version of the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) Subseasonal to Seasonal …

This study quantifies the state of the art in the rapidly growing field of seasonal Arctic sea ice
prediction. A novel multimodel dataset of retrospective seasonal predictions of September …

With retreating sea ice and increasing human activities in the Arctic come a growing need for
reliable sea ice forecasts up to months ahead. We exploit the subseasonal‐to‐seasonal …

The decline of Arctic sea ice extent has created a pressing need for accurate seasonal
predictions of regional summer sea ice. Recent work has shown evidence for an Arctic sea …

Seasonal predictions of Arctic sea ice on regional spatial scales are a pressing need for a
broad group of stakeholders, however, most assessments of predictability and forecast skill …

Within the rapidly changing Arctic region, accurate sea ice forecasts are of crucial
importance for navigation activities, such as the planning of ship** routes. Numerical …

Seasonal forecast systems can skillfully predict summer Arctic sea ice up to 4 months in
advance. For some regions, however, there is a springtime predictability barrier that causes …