A new method of alternatives' probabilities estimation under deficiency of expert numeric
information (obtained from different sources) is proposed. The method is based on the …

John Maynard Keynes was arguably the most influential Western economist of the twentieth
century. His emphasis on the nature and role of uncertainty in economics is a dominant …

The principle of indifference is supposed to suffice for the rational assignation of
probabilities to possibilities. Bertrand advances a probability problem, now known as his …

The inference from order to quantity is fundamental to psychometrics because the sorts of
attributes that psychometricians aspire to measure are experienced directly only as ordered …

Philosophers now seem to agree that frequentism is an untenable strategy to explain the
meaning of probabilities. Nevertheless, I want to revive frequentism, and I will do so by …

John Maynard Keynes is undoubtedly the most influential Western economist of the
twentieth century. His emphasis on the nature and role of uncertainty in economic thought is …

Science has but one subject and only one fundamental method. Its subject matter is the
array of interconnected and interacting systems we find in the universe around us, including …

Various modern decision theories seek to capture the intuition behind Keynes's conception
of evidential weight. Keynes was nevertheless hesitant about the practical relevance of …

A number of scholars have noted that Ellsberg's seminal 1961QJE critique of the subjective
expected utility model bears certain resemblances to ideas expressed in JM Keynes's 1921 …

This paper has the aim of making Johannes von Kries's masterpiece, Die Principien der
Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung of 1886, a little more accessible to the modern reader in three …