The criteria for zoning the surface fault rupture hazard (SFRH) along thrust faults are defined
by analysing the characteristics of the areas of coseismic surface faulting in thrust …

The case of the heavy precipitation event on 14 and 15 October 2018 which has led to
severe flash flooding in the Aude watershed in south-western France is studied from a …

Ensemble sensitivity analysis (ESA) is a statistical technique applied within an ensemble to
reveal the atmospheric flow features that relate to a chosen aspect of the flow. Given its ease …

Abstract The Mellor‐Yamada‐Nakanishi‐Niino (MYNN) parameterization applied in the
Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model has been augmented to include the Eddy …

Oscillatory modes of the climate system are among its most predictable features, especially
at intraseasonal time scales. These oscillations can be predicted well with data-driven …

The typhoon intensity forecasts are much more affected by nonlinear processes than track
forecasts. Recent developments in models and nonlinear data assimilation methods have …

Convection intensity and longevity is highly dependent on the surrounding environment.
Ensemble sensitivity analysis (ESA), which quantitatively and qualitatively interprets impacts …

Ensemble sensitivity analysis (ESA) is a useful and computationally inexpensive tool for
analyzing how features in the flow at early forecast times affect different relevant forecast …

The increasing frequency of high-impact wildfires has led to an emphasis on improving
forecasts of the conditions that are favorable for wildfire initiation and rapid spread. The key …

Ensemble sensitivity analysis (ESA) is applied to select types of observations, in various
locations and in advance of forecast convection, to systematically evaluate the effectiveness …