Statistics of robust optimization: A generalized empirical likelihood approach

JC Duchi, PW Glynn… - Mathematics of Operations …, 2021 - pubsonline.informs.org
We study statistical inference and distributionally robust solution methods for stochastic
optimization problems, focusing on confidence intervals for optimal values and solutions that …

Recovering best statistical guarantees via the empirical divergence-based distributionally robust optimization

H Lam - Operations Research, 2019 - pubsonline.informs.org
We investigate the use of distributionally robust optimization (DRO) as a tractable tool to
recover the asymptotic statistical guarantees provided by the central limit theorem, for …

Importance sampling the union of rare events with an application to power systems analysis

AB Owen, Y Maximov, M Chertkov - 2019 - projecteuclid.org
We consider importance sampling to estimate the probability μ of a union of J rare events
H_j defined by a random variable x. The sampler we study has been used in spatial …

Rare-event simulation for neural network and random forest predictors

Y Bai, Z Huang, H Lam, D Zhao - ACM Transactions on Modeling and …, 2022 - dl.acm.org
We study rare-event simulation for a class of problems where the target hitting sets of
interest are defined via modern machine learning tools such as neural networks and random …

Generalized sequential probability ratio test for separate families of hypotheses

X Li, J Liu, Z Ying - Sequential analysis, 2014 - Taylor & Francis
In this article, we consider the problem of testing two separate families of hypotheses via a
generalization of the sequential probability ratio test. In particular, the generalized likelihood …

High-frequency asymptotics for Lipschitz–Killing curvatures of excursion sets on the sphere

D Marinucci, S Vadlamani - 2016 - projecteuclid.org
In this paper, we shall be concerned with geometric functionals and excursion probabilities
for some nonlinear transforms evaluated on Fourier components of spherical random fields …

Designing importance samplers to simulate machine learning predictors via optimization

Z Huang, H Lam, D Zhao - 2018 Winter Simulation Conference …, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
We study the problem of designing good importance sampling (IS) schemes to simulate the
probability that a sophisticated predictor, built for instance from an off-the-shelf machine …

Rare-event simulation without structural information: a learning-based approach

Z Huang, H Lam, D Zhao - 2018 Winter Simulation Conference …, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Importance sampling has been extensively studied as a variance reduction tool in rare-event
simulation. The design and efficiency of this method often relies on structural knowledge …

Tail approximations of integrals of Gaussian random fields

J Liu - 2012 - projecteuclid.org
This paper develops asymptotic approximations of P (∫ T ef (t) dt> b) as b→∞ for a
homogeneous smooth Gaussian random field, f, living on a compact d-dimensional Jordan …

On the conditional distributions and the efficient simulations of exponential integrals of Gaussian random fields

J Liu, G Xu - 2014 - projecteuclid.org
On the conditional distributions and the efficient simulations of exponential integrals of
Gaussian random fields Page 1 The Annals of Applied Probability 2014, Vol. 24, No. 4, 1691–1738 …