An overview of forecast analysis with ARIMA models during the COVID-19 pandemic: Methodology and case study in Brazil

R Ospina, JAM Gondim, V Leiva, C Castro - Mathematics, 2023 - mdpi.com
This comprehensive overview focuses on the issues presented by the pandemic due to
COVID-19, understanding its spread and the wide-ranging effects of government-imposed …

Lighting the populational impact of covid-19 vaccines in brazil

FHA Araujo, LHS Fernandes - Fractals, 2022 - World Scientific
This paper examines the populational impact of the COVID-19 vaccinations for Brazil.
Therefore, our analysis takes into account the time series of the daily number of deaths …

Dynamics diagnosis of the COVID-19 deaths using the Pearson diagram

ADS Gonçalves, LHS Fernandes… - Chaos, Solitons & …, 2022 - Elsevier
The pandemic COVID-19 brings with it the need for studies and tools to help those in charge
make decisions. Working with classical time series methods such as ARIMA and SARIMA …

[HTML][HTML] A comparative analysis between a SIRD compartmental model and the Richards growth model

AMS Macêdo, AA Brum, GC Duarte-Filho… - … in Computational and …, 2021 - SciELO Brasil
We propose a compartmental SIRD model with time-dependent parameters that can be
used to give epidemiological interpretations to the phenomenological parameters of the …

Heavy-tailed distributions of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths in spatiotemporal space

P Liu, Y Zheng - PLoS One, 2023 - journals.plos.org
This paper conducts a systematic statistical analysis of the characteristics of the
geographical empirical distributions for the numbers of both cumulative and daily confirmed …

Standard and anomalous waves of COVID-19: A multiple-wave growth model for epidemics

GL Vasconcelos, AA Brum, FAG Almeida… - Brazilian Journal of …, 2021 - Springer
We apply a generalized logistic growth model, with time-dependent parameters, to describe
the fatality curves of the COVID-19 disease for several countries that exhibit multiple waves …

The starting dates of COVID-19 multiple waves

PR de Lima Gianfelice, R Sovek Oyarzabal… - … Journal of Nonlinear …, 2022 - pubs.aip.org
The severe acute respiratory syndrome of coronavirus 2 spread globally very quickly,
causing great concern at the international level due to the severity of the associated …

An epidemiological analysis for assessing and evaluating COVID-19 based on data analytics in Latin American countries

V Leiva, E Alcudia, J Montano, C Castro - Biology, 2023 - mdpi.com
Simple Summary In this research, we investigate the COVID-19 spread in Latin American
countries using time-series and epidemic models. We highlight the diverse outbreak …

Exploring the relationship between mobility and COVID− 19 infection rates for the second peak in the United States using phase-wise association

R Gottumukkala, S Katragadda, RT Bhupatiraju… - BMC Public Health, 2021 - Springer
Human mobility plays an important role in the dynamics of infectious disease spread.
Evidence from the initial nationwide lockdowns for COVID− 19 indicates that restricting …

Inference Based on the Stochastic Expectation Maximization Algorithm in a Kumaraswamy Model with an Application to COVID-19 Cases in Chile

J Figueroa-Zúñiga, JG Toledo, B Lagos-Alvarez… - Mathematics, 2023 - mdpi.com
Extensive research has been conducted on models that utilize the Kumaraswamy
distribution to describe continuous variables with bounded support. In this study, we …