Exact Bayesian inference on discrete models via probability generating functions: a probabilistic programming approach
We present an exact Bayesian inference method for discrete statistical models, which can
find exact solutions to a large class of discrete inference problems, even with infinite support …
find exact solutions to a large class of discrete inference problems, even with infinite support …
Exact Bayesian Inference for Loopy Probabilistic Programs using Generating Functions
L Klinkenberg, C Blumenthal, M Chen… - Proceedings of the …, 2024 - dl.acm.org
We present an exact Bayesian inference method for inferring posterior distributions encoded
by probabilistic programs featuring possibly unbounded loops. Our method is built on a …
by probabilistic programs featuring possibly unbounded loops. Our method is built on a …
Towards formal verification of Bayesian inference in probabilistic programming via guaranteed bounds
F Zaiser - 2024 - ora.ox.ac.uk
Probabilistic models are an indispensable tool in many scientific fields, from the social and
medical sciences to physics and machine learning. In probabilistic programming, such …
medical sciences to physics and machine learning. In probabilistic programming, such …
Learning in integer latent variable models with nested automatic differentiation
We develop nested automatic differentiation (AD) algorithms for exact inference and
learning in integer latent variable models. Recently, Winner, Sujono, and Sheldon showed …
learning in integer latent variable models. Recently, Winner, Sujono, and Sheldon showed …
Probabilistic Inference with Generating Functions for Population Dynamics of Unmarked Individuals
K Winner - 2020 - scholarworks.umass.edu
Modeling the interactions of different population dynamics (eg reproduction, migration)
within a population is a challenging problem that underlies numerous ecological research …
within a population is a challenging problem that underlies numerous ecological research …
Probabilistic Inference with Generating Functions for Animal Populations
Estimating the size and demographic parameters of animal populations is key to effective
conservation. This is commonly done by using counts of animals made by human observers …
conservation. This is commonly done by using counts of animals made by human observers …