A multi-model and multi-index evaluation of drought characteristics in the 21st century

D Touma, M Ashfaq, MA Nayak, SC Kao… - Journal of …, 2015 - Elsevier
Drought is a natural hazard that can have severe and long-lasting impacts on natural and
human systems. Although increases in global greenhouse forcing are expected to change …

Increasing risk of meteorological drought in the Lake Urmia basin under climate change: Introducing the precipitation–temperature deciles index

MS Abbasian, MR Najafi, A Abrishamchi - Journal of Hydrology, 2021 - Elsevier
Meteorological droughts due to the concurrent occurrence of low-precipitation and high-
temperature events can lead to severe negative impacts on agriculture, economy …

[HTML][HTML] Towards improved drought prediction in the Mediterranean region–modeling approaches and future directions

B Zellou, N El Moçayd… - Natural Hazards and Earth …, 2023 - nhess.copernicus.org
There is a scientific consensus that the Mediterranean region (MedR) is warming and as the
temperature continues to rise, droughts and heat waves are becoming more frequent …

A Bayesian framework for probabilistic seasonal drought forecasting

S Madadgar, H Moradkhani - Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2013 - journals.ametsoc.org
Seasonal drought forecasting is presented within a multivariate probabilistic framework. The
standardized streamflow index (SSI) is used to characterize hydrologic droughts with …

Improved B ayesian multimodeling: Integration of copulas and B ayesian model averaging

S Madadgar, H Moradkhani - Water Resources Research, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Bayesian model averaging (BMA) is a popular approach to combine hydrologic forecasts
from individual models and characterize the uncertainty induced by model structure. In the …

Is southwestern China experiencing more frequent precipitation extremes?

M Liu, X Xu, AY Sun, K Wang, W Liu… - Environmental …, 2014 - iopscience.iop.org
Climate extremes have and will continue to cause severe damages to buildings and natural
environments around the world. A full knowledge of the probability of the climate extremes is …

Copula-based multivariate flood probability construction: a review

S Latif, F Mustafa - Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 2020 - Springer
Basin perspective hydrology and hydraulic water-related queries often demanding an
accurate estimation of flood exceedance probabilities or return periods for assessing …

Spatio-temporal analysis and forecasting of drought in the plains of northwestern Algeria using the standardized precipitation index

K Achour, M Meddi, A Zeroual, S Bouabdelli… - Journal of Earth System …, 2020 - Springer
Drought is the most frequent natural disaster in Algeria during the last century, with a
severity ranging over the territory and causing enormous damages to agriculture and …

Anatomy of a local-scale drought: Application of assimilated remote sensing products, crop model, and statistical methods to an agricultural drought study

AK Mishra, AVM Ines, NN Das, CP Khedun… - Journal of …, 2015 - Elsevier
Drought is of global concern for society but it originates as a local problem. It has a
significant impact on water quantity and quality and influences food, water, and energy …

Time‐varying nonstationary multivariate risk analysis using a dynamic Bayesian copula

A Sarhadi, DH Burn… - Water Resources …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
A time‐varying risk analysis is proposed for an adaptive design framework in nonstationary
conditions arising from climate change. A Bayesian, dynamic conditional copula is …