[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice

F Petropoulos, D Apiletti, V Assimakopoulos… - International Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …

[HTML][HTML] Thirty years on: A review of the Lee–Carter method for forecasting mortality

U Basellini, CG Camarda, H Booth - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
The introduction of the Lee–Carter (LC) method marked a breakthrough in mortality
forecasting, providing a simple yet powerful data-driven stochastic approach. The method …

StMoMo: An R package for stochastic mortality modeling

AM Villegas, VK Kaishev, P Millossovich - Journal of Statistical Software, 2018 - jstatsoft.org
In this paper we mirror the framework of generalized (non-) linear models to define the family
of generalized age-period-cohort stochastic mortality models which encompasses the vast …

Time-series forecasting of mortality rates using deep learning

F Perla, R Richman, S Scognamiglio… - Scandinavian …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
The time-series nature of mortality rates lends itself to processing through neural networks
that are specialized to deal with sequential data, such as recurrent and convolutional …

[BOEK][B] Counterparty credit risk, collateral and funding: with pricing cases for all asset classes

D Brigo, M Morini, A Pallavicini - 2013 - books.google.com
The book's content is focused on rigorous and advanced quantitative methods for the pricing
and hedging of counterparty credit and funding risk. The new general theory that is required …

On stochastic mortality modeling

R Plat - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2009 - Elsevier
In the last decennium a vast literature on stochastic mortality models has been developed.
All well-known models have nice features but also disadvantages. In this paper a stochastic …

[BOEK][B] Modelling longevity dynamics for pensions and annuity business

E Pitacco - 2009 - books.google.com
Mortality improvements, uncertainty in future mortality trends and the relevant impact on life
annuities and pension plans constitute important topics in the field of actuarial mathematics …

Mortality density forecasts: An analysis of six stochastic mortality models

AJG Cairns, D Blake, K Dowd, GD Coughlan… - Insurance: Mathematics …, 2011 - Elsevier
This paper develops a framework for develo** forecasts of future mortality rates. We
discuss the suitability of six stochastic mortality models for forecasting future mortality and …

Modelling and management of mortality risk: a review

AJG Cairns, D Blake, K Dowd - Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2008 - Taylor & Francis
In the first part of the paper, we consider the wide range of extrapolative stochastic mortality
models that have been proposed over the last 15–20 years. A number of models that we …

Measuring basis risk in longevity hedges

JSH Li, MR Hardy - North American Actuarial Journal, 2011 - Taylor & Francis
In examining basis risk in index longevity hedges, it is important not to ignore the
dependence between the population underlying the hedging instrument and the population …