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[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
[HTML][HTML] Thirty years on: A review of the Lee–Carter method for forecasting mortality
The introduction of the Lee–Carter (LC) method marked a breakthrough in mortality
forecasting, providing a simple yet powerful data-driven stochastic approach. The method …
forecasting, providing a simple yet powerful data-driven stochastic approach. The method …
StMoMo: An R package for stochastic mortality modeling
In this paper we mirror the framework of generalized (non-) linear models to define the family
of generalized age-period-cohort stochastic mortality models which encompasses the vast …
of generalized age-period-cohort stochastic mortality models which encompasses the vast …
Time-series forecasting of mortality rates using deep learning
The time-series nature of mortality rates lends itself to processing through neural networks
that are specialized to deal with sequential data, such as recurrent and convolutional …
that are specialized to deal with sequential data, such as recurrent and convolutional …
[BOEK][B] Counterparty credit risk, collateral and funding: with pricing cases for all asset classes
The book's content is focused on rigorous and advanced quantitative methods for the pricing
and hedging of counterparty credit and funding risk. The new general theory that is required …
and hedging of counterparty credit and funding risk. The new general theory that is required …
On stochastic mortality modeling
R Plat - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2009 - Elsevier
In the last decennium a vast literature on stochastic mortality models has been developed.
All well-known models have nice features but also disadvantages. In this paper a stochastic …
All well-known models have nice features but also disadvantages. In this paper a stochastic …
[BOEK][B] Modelling longevity dynamics for pensions and annuity business
E Pitacco - 2009 - books.google.com
Mortality improvements, uncertainty in future mortality trends and the relevant impact on life
annuities and pension plans constitute important topics in the field of actuarial mathematics …
annuities and pension plans constitute important topics in the field of actuarial mathematics …
Mortality density forecasts: An analysis of six stochastic mortality models
This paper develops a framework for develo** forecasts of future mortality rates. We
discuss the suitability of six stochastic mortality models for forecasting future mortality and …
discuss the suitability of six stochastic mortality models for forecasting future mortality and …
Modelling and management of mortality risk: a review
In the first part of the paper, we consider the wide range of extrapolative stochastic mortality
models that have been proposed over the last 15–20 years. A number of models that we …
models that have been proposed over the last 15–20 years. A number of models that we …
Measuring basis risk in longevity hedges
In examining basis risk in index longevity hedges, it is important not to ignore the
dependence between the population underlying the hedging instrument and the population …
dependence between the population underlying the hedging instrument and the population …