Posterior and computational uncertainty in gaussian processes
Gaussian processes scale prohibitively with the size of the dataset. In response, many
approximation methods have been developed, which inevitably introduce approximation …
approximation methods have been developed, which inevitably introduce approximation …
Optimally-weighted estimators of the maximum mean discrepancy for likelihood-free inference
Likelihood-free inference methods typically make use of a distance between simulated and
real data. A common example is the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), which has …
real data. A common example is the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), which has …
[LLIBRE][B] Probabilistic Numerics: Computation as Machine Learning
Probabilistic numerical computation formalises the connection between machine learning
and applied mathematics. Numerical algorithms approximate intractable quantities from …
and applied mathematics. Numerical algorithms approximate intractable quantities from …
A probabilistic state space model for joint inference from differential equations and data
Mechanistic models with differential equations are a key component of scientific applications
of machine learning. Inference in such models is usually computationally demanding …
of machine learning. Inference in such models is usually computationally demanding …
Baysian numerical integration with neural networks
Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods for numerical integration offer significant
advantages over their non-Bayesian counterparts: they can encode prior information about …
advantages over their non-Bayesian counterparts: they can encode prior information about …
Conditional Bayesian Quadrature
We propose a novel approach for estimating conditional or parametric expectations in the
setting where obtaining samples or evaluating integrands is costly. Through the framework …
setting where obtaining samples or evaluating integrands is costly. Through the framework …
[PDF][PDF] Emukit: A Python toolkit for decision making under uncertainty
Emukit is a highly flexible Python toolkit for enriching decision making under uncertainty with
statistical emulation. It is particularly pertinent to complex processes and simulations where …
statistical emulation. It is particularly pertinent to complex processes and simulations where …
Multilevel bayesian quadrature
Abstract Multilevel Monte Carlo is a key tool for approximating integrals involving expensive
scientific models. The idea is to use approximations of the integrand to construct an …
scientific models. The idea is to use approximations of the integrand to construct an …
Robust and conjugate Gaussian process regression
To enable closed form conditioning, a common assumption in Gaussian process (GP)
regression is independent and identically distributed Gaussian observation noise. This …
regression is independent and identically distributed Gaussian observation noise. This …
GParareal: a time-parallel ODE solver using Gaussian process emulation
Sequential numerical methods for integrating initial value problems (IVPs) can be
prohibitively expensive when high numerical accuracy is required over the entire interval of …
prohibitively expensive when high numerical accuracy is required over the entire interval of …