[KİTAP][B] Bayesian statistics for the social sciences

D Kaplan - 2023 - books.google.com
" Since the publication of the first edition, Bayesian statistics is, arguably, still not the norm in
the formal quantitative methods training of social scientists. Typically, the only introduction …

Efficient variational Bayesian model updating by Bayesian active learning

F Hong, P Wei, S Bi, M Beer - Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 2025 - Elsevier
As a main task of inverse problem, model updating has received more and more attention in
the area of inspection, sensing, and monitoring technologies during the recent decades …

Fast and accurate variational inference for models with many latent variables

R Loaiza-Maya, MS Smith, DJ Nott, PJ Danaher - Journal of Econometrics, 2022 - Elsevier
Abstract Models with a large number of latent variables are often used to utilize the
information in big or complex data, but can be difficult to estimate. Variational inference …

Variational Bayes approximation of factor stochastic volatility models

D Gunawan, R Kohn, D Nott - International Journal of Forecasting, 2021 - Elsevier
Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models
is an important and active research area, because such models allow a parsimonious …

Stochastic variational inference for GARCH models

H Xuan, L Maestrini, F Chen, C Grazian - Statistics and Computing, 2024 - Springer
Stochastic variational inference algorithms are derived for fitting various heteroskedastic
time series models. We examine Gaussian, t, and skewed t response GARCH models and fit …

Recursive variational Gaussian approximation with the Whittle likelihood for linear non-Gaussian state space models

BA Vu, D Gunawan, A Zammit-Mangion - arxiv preprint arxiv:2406.15998, 2024 - arxiv.org
Parameter inference for linear and non-Gaussian state space models is challenging
because the likelihood function contains an intractable integral over the latent state …

R-VGAL: a sequential variational Bayes algorithm for generalised linear mixed models

BA Vu, D Gunawan, A Zammit-Mangion - Statistics and Computing, 2024 - Springer
Abstract Models with random effects, such as generalised linear mixed models (GLMMs),
are often used for analysing clustered data. Parameter inference with these models is …

Variational approximation of factor stochastic volatility models

D Gunawan, R Kohn, D Nott - arxiv preprint arxiv:2010.06738, 2020 - arxiv.org
Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models
is an important and active research area because such models allow a parsimonious …

Multi-task dynamical systems

A Bird, CKI Williams, C Hawthorne - Journal of Machine Learning Research, 2022 - jmlr.org
Time series datasets are often composed of a variety of sequences from the same domain,
but from different entities, such as individuals, products, or organizations. We are interested …

Multi-task dynamical systems: customising time series models

A Bird - 2021 - era.ed.ac.uk
Time series datasets are usually composed of a variety of sequences from the same domain,
but from different entities, such as individuals, products, or organizations. We are interested …