Advances in the lead time of Sahel rainfall prediction with the North American Multimodel Ensemble

A Giannini, A Ali, CP Kelley, BL Lamptey… - Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We assess the deterministic skill in seasonal climate predictions of Sahel rainfall made with
the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME). We find that skill for a regionally …

Verification of seasonal prediction by the upgraded China multi-model ensemble prediction system (CMMEv2. 0)

J Wu, HL Ren, J Wan, J Liu, J Zuo, C Liu, Y Liu… - Journal of …, 2024 - Springer
Based on a combination of six Chinese climate models and three international operational
models, the China multi-model ensemble (CMME) prediction system has been upgraded …

Assessment of MME methods for seasonal prediction using WMO LC‐LRFMME hindcast dataset

G Kim, JB Ahn, VN Kryjov, WS Lee… - International Journal …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Different multi‐model ensemble (MME) methods were investigated for their potential to
improve the skill of 1‐month lead seasonal forecast products, based on six models from …

Post-processing of the North American multi-model ensemble for monthly forecast of precipitation based on neural network models

M Pakdaman, Y Falamarzi, I Babaeian… - Theoretical and Applied …, 2020 - Springer
The aim of this paper is to investigate the ability of artificial neural network (ANN) models for
post-processing the monthly precipitation forecasts under North American multi-model …

The gnat and the bull do climate outlook forums make a difference?

AK Gerlak, SJ Mason, M Daly… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Little has been documented about the benefits and impacts of the recent growth in climate
services, despite a growing call to justify their value and stimulate investment. Regional …

Calibration and combination of seasonal precipitation forecasts over South America using Ensemble Regression

M Osman, CAS Coelho, CS Vera - Climate Dynamics, 2021 - Springer
Abstract Models participating in the North American Multi Model Ensemble project were
calibrated and combined to produce reliable precipitation probabilistic forecast over South …

Impacts of the Arctic-midlatitude teleconnection on wintertime seasonal climate forecasts

E Jung, JH Jeong, SH Woo, BM Kim… - Environmental …, 2020 - iopscience.iop.org
The impact of the Arctic on midlatitude weather and climate is still in scientific debate. The
observation-based analysis, however, shows frequent concurrences of Arctic warming with …

On the relationship between probabilistic and deterministic skills in dynamical seasonal climate prediction

D Yang, XQ Yang, D Ye, X Sun, J Fang… - Journal of …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Despite the gradually increasing emphasis on assessing the skill of dynamical seasonal
climate predictions from the probabilistic perspective, there is a lack of in‐depth …

On the Use of Hindcast Skill for Merging NMME Seasonal Forecasts across the Western United States

WD Scheftic, X Zeng, MA Brunke… - Weather and …, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Multimodel ensemble forecasts have gained widespread use over the past decade. A yet
unresolved issue is whether forecast skill benefits from the use of prior skill from each model …

Delayed impact of El Niño on the spring surface air temperature over India

S Velivelli, GC Satyanarayana, JS Chowdary, KK Rao… - Climate Dynamics, 2024 - Springer
Air temperature variability and prediction are important considering the potential implications
on human health, water resource management, agriculture and land-atmosphere …