How numeracy influences risk comprehension and medical decision making.
We review the growing literature on health numeracy, the ability to understand and use
numerical information, and its relation to cognition, health behaviors, and medical outcomes …
numerical information, and its relation to cognition, health behaviors, and medical outcomes …
Base-rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes
AK Barbey, SA Sloman - Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 2007 - cambridge.org
The phenomenon of base-rate neglect has elicited much debate. One arena of debate
concerns how people make judgments under conditions of uncertainty. Another more …
concerns how people make judgments under conditions of uncertainty. Another more …
Hel** doctors and patients make sense of health statistics
Many doctors, patients, journalists, and politicians alike do not understand what health
statistics mean or draw wrong conclusions without noticing. Collective statistical illiteracy …
statistics mean or draw wrong conclusions without noticing. Collective statistical illiteracy …
[BOOK][B] Rationality for mortals: How people cope with uncertainty
G Gigerenzer - 2010 - books.google.com
Gerd Gigerenzer's influential work examines the rationality of individuals not from the
perspective of logic or probability, but from the point of view of adaptation to the real world of …
perspective of logic or probability, but from the point of view of adaptation to the real world of …
Numeracy, ratio bias, and denominator neglect in judgments of risk and probability
“Numeracy,” so-called on analogy with literacy, is essential for making health and other
social judgments in everyday life [Reyna, VF, & Brainerd, CJ (in press). The importance of …
social judgments in everyday life [Reyna, VF, & Brainerd, CJ (in press). The importance of …
Intuitions about combining opinions: Misappreciation of the averaging principle
Averaging estimates is an effective way to improve accuracy when combining expert
judgments, integrating group members' judgments, or using advice to modify personal …
judgments, integrating group members' judgments, or using advice to modify personal …
[BOOK][B] Simply rational: Decision making in the real world
G Gigerenzer - 2015 - books.google.com
Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This
volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and …
volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and …
Representation facilitates reasoning: What natural frequencies are and what they are not
A good representation can be crucial for finding the solution to a problem. Gigerenzer and
Hoffrage (Psychol. Rev. 102 (1995) 684; Psychol. Rev. 106 (1999) 425) have shown that …
Hoffrage (Psychol. Rev. 102 (1995) 684; Psychol. Rev. 106 (1999) 425) have shown that …
Children can solve Bayesian problems: The role of representation in mental computation
L Zhu, G Gigerenzer - Cognition, 2006 - Elsevier
Can children reason the Bayesian way? We argue that the answer to this question depends
on how numbers are represented, because a representation can do part of the computation …
on how numbers are represented, because a representation can do part of the computation …
Pictorial representations in statistical reasoning
GL Brase - Applied Cognitive Psychology: The Official Journal …, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
In an ongoing debate between two visions of statistical reasoning competency, ecological
rationality proponents claim that pictorial representations help tap into the frequency coding …
rationality proponents claim that pictorial representations help tap into the frequency coding …