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Causality in thought
Causal knowledge plays a crucial role in human thought, but the nature of causal
representation and inference remains a puzzle. Can human causal inference be captured by …
representation and inference remains a puzzle. Can human causal inference be captured by …
[HTML][HTML] A review of possible effects of cognitive biases on interpretation of rule-based machine learning models
While the interpretability of machine learning models is often equated with their mere
syntactic comprehensibility, we think that interpretability goes beyond that, and that human …
syntactic comprehensibility, we think that interpretability goes beyond that, and that human …
Deciding fast and slow: The role of cognitive biases in ai-assisted decision-making
Several strands of research have aimed to bridge the gap between artificial intelligence (AI)
and human decision-makers in AI-assisted decision-making, where humans are the …
and human decision-makers in AI-assisted decision-making, where humans are the …
Where do hypotheses come from?
Why are human inferences sometimes remarkably close to the Bayesian ideal and other
times systematically biased? In particular, why do humans make near-rational inferences in …
times systematically biased? In particular, why do humans make near-rational inferences in …
Asking the right questions about the psychology of human inquiry: Nine open challenges
The ability to act on the world with the goal of gaining information is core to human
adaptability and intelligence. Perhaps the most successful and influential account of such …
adaptability and intelligence. Perhaps the most successful and influential account of such …
On the interpretation of likelihood ratios in forensic science evidence: Presentation formats and the weak evidence effect
Likelihood ratios are increasingly being adopted to convey expert evaluative opinions to
courts. In the absence of appropriate databases, many of these likelihood ratios will include …
courts. In the absence of appropriate databases, many of these likelihood ratios will include …
On cognitive preferences and the plausibility of rule-based models
It is conventional wisdom in machine learning and data mining that logical models such as
rule sets are more interpretable than other models, and that among such rule-based models …
rule sets are more interpretable than other models, and that among such rule-based models …
The expression and interpretation of uncertain forensic science evidence: Verbal equivalence, evidence strength, and the weak evidence effect.
Standards published by the Association of Forensic Science Providers (2009, Standards for
the formulation of evaluative forensic science expert opinion, Science & Justice, Vol. 49, pp …
the formulation of evaluative forensic science expert opinion, Science & Justice, Vol. 49, pp …
Independence and dependence in human causal reasoning
B Rehder - Cognitive psychology, 2014 - Elsevier
Causal graphical models (CGMs) are a popular formalism used to model human causal
reasoning and learning. The key property of CGMs is the causal Markov condition, which …
reasoning and learning. The key property of CGMs is the causal Markov condition, which …
[HTML][HTML] Juror comprehension of forensic expert testimony: A literature review and gap analysis
H Eldridge - Forensic Science International: Synergy, 2019 - Elsevier
Forensic scientists and commentators including academics and statisticians have been
embroiled in a debate over the best way to present evidence in the courtroom. Various forms …
embroiled in a debate over the best way to present evidence in the courtroom. Various forms …