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A review of self-exciting spatio-temporal point processes and their applications
A Reinhart - Statistical Science, 2018 - JSTOR
Self-exciting spatio-temporal point process models predict the rate of events as a function of
space, time, and the previous history of events. These models naturally capture triggering …
space, time, and the previous history of events. These models naturally capture triggering …
Develo**, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions
While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …
Earthquake declustering using the nearest‐neighbor approach in space‐time‐magnitude domain
We introduce an algorithm for declustering earthquake catalogs based on the nearest‐
neighbor analysis of seismicity. The algorithm discriminates between background and …
neighbor analysis of seismicity. The algorithm discriminates between background and …
Self-exciting point processes with spatial covariates: modelling the dynamics of crime
Crime has both varying patterns in space, related to features of the environment, economy
and policing, and patterns in time arising from criminal behaviour, such as retaliation …
and policing, and patterns in time arising from criminal behaviour, such as retaliation …
Impact of aseismic transients on the estimation of aftershock productivity parameters
S Hainzl, O Zakharova… - Bulletin of the …, 2013 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
The epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model has been shown to describe
successfully the statistical seismicity properties, if earthquake triggering is related to tectonic …
successfully the statistical seismicity properties, if earthquake triggering is related to tectonic …
Objective estimation of spatially variable parameters of epidemic type aftershock sequence model: Application to California
S Nandan, G Ouillon, S Wiemer… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model is widely employed to
model the spatiotemporal distribution of earthquakes, generally using spatially invariant …
model the spatiotemporal distribution of earthquakes, generally using spatially invariant …
Investigating clustering and violence interruption in gang-related violent crime data using spatial–temporal point processes with covariates
Reported gang-related violent crimes in Los Angeles, California, from 1/1/14 to 12/31/17 are
modeled using spatial–temporal marked Hawkes point processes with covariates. We …
modeled using spatial–temporal marked Hawkes point processes with covariates. We …
A software tool for hybrid earthquake forecasting in New Zealand
Earthquake forecasts estimate the likelihood of seismic activity within a specific region over
a given timeframe, utilizing historical data and patterns from past earthquakes. In New …
a given timeframe, utilizing historical data and patterns from past earthquakes. In New …
ETAS: an R package for fitting the space-time ETAS model to earthquake data
A Jalilian - Journal of Statistical Software, 2019 - jstatsoft.org
The epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is the most widely used statistical
model to describe earthquake catalogs. ETAS is an R package for fitting the space-time …
model to describe earthquake catalogs. ETAS is an R package for fitting the space-time …
Exploring probabilistic seismic risk assessment accounting for seismicity clustering and damage accumulation: Part I. Hazard analysis
Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), as a tool to assess the probability that ground
motion of a given intensity or larger is experienced at a given site and time span, has …
motion of a given intensity or larger is experienced at a given site and time span, has …