A review of self-exciting spatio-temporal point processes and their applications

A Reinhart - Statistical Science, 2018 - JSTOR
Self-exciting spatio-temporal point process models predict the rate of events as a function of
space, time, and the previous history of events. These models naturally capture triggering …

Develo**, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions

L Mizrahi, I Dallo, NJ van der Elst… - Reviews of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

Earthquake declustering using the nearest‐neighbor approach in space‐time‐magnitude domain

I Zaliapin, Y Ben‐Zion - Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We introduce an algorithm for declustering earthquake catalogs based on the nearest‐
neighbor analysis of seismicity. The algorithm discriminates between background and …

Self-exciting point processes with spatial covariates: modelling the dynamics of crime

A Reinhart, J Greenhouse - … the Royal Statistical Society Series C …, 2018 - academic.oup.com
Crime has both varying patterns in space, related to features of the environment, economy
and policing, and patterns in time arising from criminal behaviour, such as retaliation …

Impact of aseismic transients on the estimation of aftershock productivity parameters

S Hainzl, O Zakharova… - Bulletin of the …, 2013 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
The epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model has been shown to describe
successfully the statistical seismicity properties, if earthquake triggering is related to tectonic …

Objective estimation of spatially variable parameters of epidemic type aftershock sequence model: Application to California

S Nandan, G Ouillon, S Wiemer… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model is widely employed to
model the spatiotemporal distribution of earthquakes, generally using spatially invariant …

Investigating clustering and violence interruption in gang-related violent crime data using spatial–temporal point processes with covariates

J Park, FP Schoenberg, AL Bertozzi… - Journal of the …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
Reported gang-related violent crimes in Los Angeles, California, from 1/1/14 to 12/31/17 are
modeled using spatial–temporal marked Hawkes point processes with covariates. We …

A software tool for hybrid earthquake forecasting in New Zealand

KM Graham, A Christophersen… - Seismological …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Earthquake forecasts estimate the likelihood of seismic activity within a specific region over
a given timeframe, utilizing historical data and patterns from past earthquakes. In New …

ETAS: an R package for fitting the space-time ETAS model to earthquake data

A Jalilian - Journal of Statistical Software, 2019 - jstatsoft.org
The epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is the most widely used statistical
model to describe earthquake catalogs. ETAS is an R package for fitting the space-time …

Exploring probabilistic seismic risk assessment accounting for seismicity clustering and damage accumulation: Part I. Hazard analysis

AN Papadopoulos, P Bazzurro… - Earthquake …, 2021 - journals.sagepub.com
Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), as a tool to assess the probability that ground
motion of a given intensity or larger is experienced at a given site and time span, has …