Tropical cyclone frequency

AH Sobel, AA Wing, SJ Camargo, CM Patricola… - Earth's …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The frequency with which tropical cyclones (TCs) occur controls all other aspects of tropical
cyclone risk since a storm that does not occur can do no harm. Yet this frequency is poorly …

Human influence on tropical cyclone intensity

AH Sobel, SJ Camargo, TM Hall, CY Lee, MK Tippett… - Science, 2016 - science.org
Recent assessments agree that tropical cyclone intensity should increase as the climate
warms. Less agreement exists on the detection of recent historical trends in tropical cyclone …

Response of Global Tropical Cyclone Activity to Increasing CO 2 : Results from Downscaling CMIP6 Models

K Emanuel - Journal of Climate, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Global models comprising the sixth-generation Coupled Climate Model Intercomparison
Project (CMIP6) are downscaled using a very high-resolution but simplified coupled …

100 years of progress in tropical cyclone research

K Emanuel - Meteorological Monographs, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
A century ago, meteorologists regarded tropical cyclones as shallow vortices, extending
upward only a few kilometers into the troposphere, and nothing was known about their …

Global and regional aspects of tropical cyclone activity in the CMIP5 models

SJ Camargo - Journal of Climate, 2013 - journals.ametsoc.org
Tropical cyclone (TC) activity is analyzed in 14 models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model
Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). The global TC activity in the historical runs is compared …

Tropical cyclone sensitivities to CO2 doubling: roles of atmospheric resolution, synoptic variability and background climate changes

GA Vecchi, TL Delworth, H Murakami, SD Underwood… - Climate Dynamics, 2019 - Springer
Responses of tropical cyclones (TCs) to CO 2 doubling are explored using coupled global
climate models (GCMs) with increasingly refined atmospheric/land horizontal grids (~ 200 …

Bias corrections of global models for regional climate simulations of high-impact weather

CL Bruyère, JM Done, GJ Holland, S Fredrick - Climate Dynamics, 2014 - Springer
All global circulation models (GCMs) suffer from some form of bias, which when used as
boundary conditions for regional climate models may impact the simulations, perhaps …

Diagnosis of the MJO modulation of tropical cyclogenesis using an empirical index

SJ Camargo, MC Wheeler… - Journal of the Atmospheric …, 2009 - journals.ametsoc.org
The modulation of tropical cyclone activity by the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) is
explored using an empirical genesis potential (GP) index. Composite anomalies of the …

Global warming effects on US hurricane damage

K Emanuel - Weather, Climate, and Society, 2011 - journals.ametsoc.org
While many studies of the effects of global warming on hurricanes predict an increase in
various metrics of Atlantic basin-wide activity, it is less clear that this signal will emerge from …

Midlevel ventilation's constraint on tropical cyclone intensity

B Tang, K Emanuel - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2010 - journals.ametsoc.org
Midlevel ventilation, or the flux of low-entropy air into the inner core of a tropical cyclone
(TC), is a hypothesized mechanism by which environmental vertical wind shear can …