What have we learned from offender profiling? A systematic review and meta-analysis of 40 years of research.
B Fox, DP Farrington - Psychological Bulletin, 2018 - psycnet.apa.org
In the 4 decades since offender profiling (OP) was established, hundreds of journal articles,
books, book chapters, reports, and magazine articles have been published on the topic, and …
books, book chapters, reports, and magazine articles have been published on the topic, and …
Communicating environmental risks: Clarifying the severity effect in interpretations of verbal probability expressions.
Verbal probability expressions are frequently used to communicate risk and uncertainty. The
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), for example, uses them to convey risks …
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), for example, uses them to convey risks …
Severity influences categorical likelihood communications: A case study with Southeast Asian weather forecasters
Risk assessments are common in multiple domains, from finance to medicine. They require
evaluating an event's potential severity and likelihood. We investigate the possible …
evaluating an event's potential severity and likelihood. We investigate the possible …
Questioning the validity of criminal profiling: An evidence-based approach
P Chifflet - Australian & New Zealand Journal of Criminology, 2015 - journals.sagepub.com
Criminal profiling is used in complex investigations, and, in a number of jurisdictions, as
expert evidence in criminal trials. This article seeks to move beyond the many anecdotal …
expert evidence in criminal trials. This article seeks to move beyond the many anecdotal …
The interpretation of verbal probabilities: A systematic literature review and meta-analysis
Methods: The present work aims to summarize existing research on the numerical
interpretation of verbal probabilities. This was accomplished by means of a systematic …
interpretation of verbal probabilities. This was accomplished by means of a systematic …
Experimental approaches to linguistic (im) politeness
This chapter provides an overview of the methods, findings and theoretical implications of
the major experimental approaches to (Im) politeness. Empirical research examining Brown …
the major experimental approaches to (Im) politeness. Empirical research examining Brown …
Improbable outcomes: Infrequent or extraordinary?
Research on verbal probabilities has shown that unlikely or improbable events are believed
to correspond to numerical probability values between 10% and 30%. However, building on …
to correspond to numerical probability values between 10% and 30%. However, building on …
[HTML][HTML] Is guilt 'likely'or 'not certain'?: Contrast with previous probabilities determines choice of verbal terms
This research focuses on what determines speakers' choice of positive and negative
probability phrases (eg,“a chance” vs.“not certain”) in a legal context. We argue that choice …
probability phrases (eg,“a chance” vs.“not certain”) in a legal context. We argue that choice …
[HTML][HTML] Subjective Probability Increases Across Communication Chains: Introducing the Probability Escalation Effect.
A severity effect has previously been documented, whereby numerical translations of verbal
probability expressions are higher for severe outcomes than for non-severe outcomes …
probability expressions are higher for severe outcomes than for non-severe outcomes …
Criminal investigation of sexual offenses
Sexual assault and abuse are among the most heinous crimes that can be committed. It is
thus startling to realize how many sexual crimes go unreported every year, worldwide. In the …
thus startling to realize how many sexual crimes go unreported every year, worldwide. In the …