Neural signature kernels as infinite-width-depth-limits of controlled resnets

NM Cirone, M Lemercier… - … Conference on Machine …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Motivated by the paradigm of reservoir computing, we consider randomly initialized
controlled ResNets defined as Euler-discretizations of neural controlled differential …

Continuous-time modeling of counterfactual outcomes using neural controlled differential equations

N Seedat, F Imrie, A Bellot, Z Qian… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2022 - arxiv.org
Estimating counterfactual outcomes over time has the potential to unlock personalized
healthcare by assisting decision-makers to answer''what-iF''questions. Existing causal …

Accounting for informative sampling when learning to forecast treatment outcomes over time

T Vanderschueren, A Curth… - International …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Abstract Machine learning (ML) holds great potential for accurately forecasting treatment
outcomes over time, which could ultimately enable the adoption of more individualized …

Trajectory Flow Matching with Applications to Clinical Time Series Modelling

XN Zhang, Y Pu, Y Kawamura, A Loza… - Advances in …, 2025 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Modeling stochastic and irregularly sampled time series is a challenging problem found in a
wide range of applications, especially in medicine. Neural stochastic differential equations …

Neural stochastic pdes: Resolution-invariant learning of continuous spatiotemporal dynamics

C Salvi, M Lemercier… - Advances in Neural …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are the mathematical tool of choice for
modelling spatiotemporal PDE-dynamics under the influence of randomness. Based on the …

CF-GODE: Continuous-time causal inference for multi-agent dynamical systems

S Jiang, Z Huang, X Luo, Y Sun - Proceedings of the 29th ACM SIGKDD …, 2023 - dl.acm.org
Multi-agent dynamical systems refer to scenarios where multiple units (aka agents) interact
with each other and evolve collectively over time. For instance, people's health conditions …

Counterfactual neural temporal point process for estimating causal influence of misinformation on social media

Y Zhang, D Cao, Y Liu - Advances in Neural Information …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Recent years have witnessed the rise of misinformation campaigns that spread specific
narratives on social media to manipulate public opinions on different areas, such as politics …

Estimating treatment effects from irregular time series observations with hidden confounders

D Cao, J Enouen, Y Wang, X Song, C Meng… - Proceedings of the …, 2023 - ojs.aaai.org
Causal analysis for time series data, in particular estimating individualized treatment effect
(ITE), is a key task in many real world applications, such as finance, retail, healthcare, etc …

New directions in the applications of rough path theory

A Fermanian, T Lyons, J Morrill… - IEEE BITS the Information …, 2023 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
This article provides a concise overview of some of the recent advances in the application of
rough path theory to machine learning. Controlled differential equations (CDEs) are …

Neural graphical modelling in continuous-time: consistency guarantees and algorithms

A Bellot, K Branson, M van der Schaar - arxiv preprint arxiv:2105.02522, 2021 - arxiv.org
The discovery of structure from time series data is a key problem in fields of study working
with complex systems. Most identifiability results and learning algorithms assume the …