Prior and posterior networks: A survey on evidential deep learning methods for uncertainty estimation

D Ulmer, C Hardmeier, J Frellsen - arxiv preprint arxiv:2110.03051, 2021 - arxiv.org
Popular approaches for quantifying predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks often
involve distributions over weights or multiple models, for instance via Markov Chain …

Beyond deep ensembles: A large-scale evaluation of bayesian deep learning under distribution shift

F Seligmann, P Becker, M Volpp… - Advances in Neural …, 2023 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Bayesian deep learning (BDL) is a promising approach to achieve well-calibrated
predictions on distribution-shifted data. Nevertheless, there exists no large-scale survey that …

Variational Bayesian last layers

J Harrison, J Willes, J Snoek - arxiv preprint arxiv:2404.11599, 2024 - arxiv.org
We introduce a deterministic variational formulation for training Bayesian last layer neural
networks. This yields a sampling-free, single-pass model and loss that effectively improves …

Riemannian Laplace approximations for Bayesian neural networks

F Bergamin, P Moreno-Muñoz… - Advances in …, 2023 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Bayesian neural networks often approximate the weight-posterior with a Gaussian
distribution. However, practical posteriors are often, even locally, highly non-Gaussian, and …

Active Learning with LLMs for Partially Observed and Cost-Aware Scenarios

N Astorga, T Liu, N Seedat… - Advances in Neural …, 2025 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Conducting experiments and gathering data for machine learning models is a complex and
expensive endeavor, particularly when confronted with limited information. Typically …

Reparameterization invariance in approximate Bayesian inference

H Roy, M Miani, CH Ek, P Hennig… - Advances in …, 2025 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Current approximate posteriors in Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) exhibit a crucial
limitation: they fail to maintain invariance under reparameterization, ie BNNs assign different …

Graph structure learning with interpretable Bayesian neural networks

M Wasserman, G Mateos - arxiv preprint arxiv:2406.14786, 2024 - arxiv.org
Graphs serve as generic tools to encode the underlying relational structure of data. Often
this graph is not given, and so the task of inferring it from nodal observations becomes …

Probabilistic photonic computing with chaotic light

F Brückerhoff-Plückelmann, H Borras, B Klein… - Nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Biological neural networks effortlessly tackle complex computational problems and excel at
predicting outcomes from noisy, incomplete data. Artificial neural networks (ANNs), inspired …

Partially observable cost-aware active-learning with large language models

N Astorga, T Liu, N Seedat… - The Thirty-Eighth Annual …, 2024 - openreview.net
Conducting experiments and gathering data for machine learning models is a complex and
expensive endeavor, particularly when confronted with limited information. Typically …

Forecasting VIX using Bayesian deep learning

HJ Hortúa, A Mora-Valencia - International Journal of Data Science and …, 2024 - Springer
Recently, deep learning techniques are gradually replacing traditional statistical and
machine learning models as the first choice for price forecasting tasks. In this paper, we …