Predictive performance of ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts: Verification metrics, diagnostic plots and forecast attributes

Z Huang, T Zhao - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Predictive performance is one of the most important issues for practical applications of
ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts. While different forecasting studies tend to use different …

[HTML][HTML] A decade of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME): Research, application, and future directions

EJ Becker, BP Kirtman, M L'Heureux… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Ten years, 16 fully coupled global models, and hundreds of research papers later, the North
American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) monthly-to-seasonal prediction system is looking …

Advancing early warning capabilities with CHIRPS-compatible NCEP GEFS precipitation forecasts

L Harrison, M Landsfeld, G Husak, F Davenport… - Scientific Data, 2022 - nature.com
CHIRPS-GEFS is an operational data set that provides daily bias-corrected forecasts for next
1-day to~ 15-day precipitation totals and anomalies at a quasi-global 50-deg N to 50-deg S …

A slow rainy season onset is a reliable harbinger of drought in most food insecure regions in Sub-Saharan Africa

S Shukla, G Husak, W Turner, F Davenport, C Funk… - Plos one, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Since 2015, Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has experienced an unprecedented rise in acute
food insecurity (AFI), and current projections for the year 2020 indicate that more than 100 …

Machine learning for food security: Principles for transparency and usability

Y Zhou, E Lentz, H Michelson, C Kim… - Applied Economic …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Machine learning (ML) holds potential to predict hunger crises before they occur.
Yet, ML models embed crucial choices that affect their utility. We develop a prototype model …

Potential of GPM IMERG precipitation estimates to monitor natural disaster triggers in urban areas: The case of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

A Getirana, D Kirschbaum, F Mandarino, M Ottoni… - Remote Sensing, 2020 - mdpi.com
Extreme rainfall can be a catastrophic trigger for natural disaster events at urban scales.
However, there remains large uncertainties as to how satellite precipitation can identify …

Groundwater modeling in data scarce aquifers: the case of Gilgel-Abay, Upper Blue Nile, Ethiopia

FK Khadim, Z Dokou, R Lazin, S Moges… - Journal of …, 2020 - Elsevier
Groundwater (GW) is the main source of domestic water supply in Ethiopia (85%), however,
despite widespread acknowledgement of its potential for resource-based development and …

Forecasting next year's global land water storage using GRACE data

F Li, J Kusche, N Sneeuw, S Siebert… - Geophysical …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Existing approaches for predicting total water storage (TWS) rely on land surface or
hydrological models using meteorological forcing data. Yet, such models are more adept at …

Understanding uncertainty of model-reanalysis soil moisture within Greater Horn of Africa (1982–2014)

NO Agutu, CE Ndehedehe, JL Awange, F Kirimi… - Journal of …, 2021 - Elsevier
Lack of in situ soil moisture over Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) has inhibited evaluation of
uncertainty and suitability of land surface model (LSM) and/or satellite-derived soil moisture …

Hydropower dam operation strongly controls Lake Victoria's freshwater storage variability

A Getirana, HC Jung, J Van Den Hoek… - Science of The Total …, 2020 - Elsevier
River impoundments strongly modify the global water cycle and terrestrial water storage
(TWS) variability. Given the susceptibility of global water cycle to climate change and …