Predictive performance of ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts: Verification metrics, diagnostic plots and forecast attributes
Predictive performance is one of the most important issues for practical applications of
ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts. While different forecasting studies tend to use different …
ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts. While different forecasting studies tend to use different …
[HTML][HTML] A decade of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME): Research, application, and future directions
Ten years, 16 fully coupled global models, and hundreds of research papers later, the North
American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) monthly-to-seasonal prediction system is looking …
American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) monthly-to-seasonal prediction system is looking …
Advancing early warning capabilities with CHIRPS-compatible NCEP GEFS precipitation forecasts
CHIRPS-GEFS is an operational data set that provides daily bias-corrected forecasts for next
1-day to~ 15-day precipitation totals and anomalies at a quasi-global 50-deg N to 50-deg S …
1-day to~ 15-day precipitation totals and anomalies at a quasi-global 50-deg N to 50-deg S …
A slow rainy season onset is a reliable harbinger of drought in most food insecure regions in Sub-Saharan Africa
Since 2015, Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has experienced an unprecedented rise in acute
food insecurity (AFI), and current projections for the year 2020 indicate that more than 100 …
food insecurity (AFI), and current projections for the year 2020 indicate that more than 100 …
Machine learning for food security: Principles for transparency and usability
Abstract Machine learning (ML) holds potential to predict hunger crises before they occur.
Yet, ML models embed crucial choices that affect their utility. We develop a prototype model …
Yet, ML models embed crucial choices that affect their utility. We develop a prototype model …
Potential of GPM IMERG precipitation estimates to monitor natural disaster triggers in urban areas: The case of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Extreme rainfall can be a catastrophic trigger for natural disaster events at urban scales.
However, there remains large uncertainties as to how satellite precipitation can identify …
However, there remains large uncertainties as to how satellite precipitation can identify …
Groundwater modeling in data scarce aquifers: the case of Gilgel-Abay, Upper Blue Nile, Ethiopia
Groundwater (GW) is the main source of domestic water supply in Ethiopia (85%), however,
despite widespread acknowledgement of its potential for resource-based development and …
despite widespread acknowledgement of its potential for resource-based development and …
Forecasting next year's global land water storage using GRACE data
Existing approaches for predicting total water storage (TWS) rely on land surface or
hydrological models using meteorological forcing data. Yet, such models are more adept at …
hydrological models using meteorological forcing data. Yet, such models are more adept at …
Understanding uncertainty of model-reanalysis soil moisture within Greater Horn of Africa (1982–2014)
Lack of in situ soil moisture over Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) has inhibited evaluation of
uncertainty and suitability of land surface model (LSM) and/or satellite-derived soil moisture …
uncertainty and suitability of land surface model (LSM) and/or satellite-derived soil moisture …
Hydropower dam operation strongly controls Lake Victoria's freshwater storage variability
River impoundments strongly modify the global water cycle and terrestrial water storage
(TWS) variability. Given the susceptibility of global water cycle to climate change and …
(TWS) variability. Given the susceptibility of global water cycle to climate change and …