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Generating probabilistic forecasts from convection-allowing ensembles using neighborhood approaches: A review and recommendations
Abstract “Neighborhood approaches” have been used in two primary ways to postprocess
and verify high-resolution ensemble output. While the two methods appear deceptively …
and verify high-resolution ensemble output. While the two methods appear deceptively …
Money doesn't grow on trees, but forecasts do: Forecasting extreme precipitation with random forests
Approximately 11 years of reforecasts from NOAA's Second-Generation Global Ensemble
Forecast System Reforecast (GEFS/R) model are used to train a contiguous United States …
Forecast System Reforecast (GEFS/R) model are used to train a contiguous United States …
FACETs: A proposed next-generation paradigm for high-impact weather forecasting
LP Rothfusz, R Schneider, D Novak… - Bulletin of the …, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract Recommendations by the National Research Council (NRC), the National Institute
of Standards and Technology (NIST), and Weather-Ready Nation workshop participants …
of Standards and Technology (NIST), and Weather-Ready Nation workshop participants …
Warm-sector heavy rainfall in southern China and its WRF simulation evaluation: A low-level-jet perspective
Warm-sector heavy rainfall in southern China refers to the heavy rainfall that occurs within
the warm sector hundreds of kilometers south of a front or without a front during April–June …
the warm sector hundreds of kilometers south of a front or without a front during April–June …
Heavy rainfall and flash flooding
Heavy precipitation, which in many contexts is welcomed because it provides the water
necessary for agriculture and human use, in other situations is responsible for deadly and …
necessary for agriculture and human use, in other situations is responsible for deadly and …
[HTML][HTML] Forecasting excessive rainfall with random forests and a deterministic convection-allowing model
Approximately seven years of daily initializations from the convection-allowing National
Severe Storms Laboratory Weather Research and Forecasting Model are used as inputs to …
Severe Storms Laboratory Weather Research and Forecasting Model are used as inputs to …
Linking flood frequency with mesoscale convective systems in the US
Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) with larger rain areas and higher rainfall intensity
than non‐MCS events can produce severe flooding. Flooding occurrences associated with …
than non‐MCS events can produce severe flooding. Flooding occurrences associated with …
Object-based verification of short-term, storm-scale probabilistic mesocyclone guidance from an experimental warn-on-forecast system
An object-based verification method for short-term, storm-scale probabilistic forecasts was
developed and applied to mesocyclone guidance produced by the experimental Warn-on …
developed and applied to mesocyclone guidance produced by the experimental Warn-on …
[HTML][HTML] The ensemble framework for flash flood forecasting (EF5) v1. 2: Description and case study
Abstract The Ensemble Framework For Flash Flood Forecasting (EF5) was developed
specifically for improving hydrologic predictions to aid in the issuance of flash flood warnings …
specifically for improving hydrologic predictions to aid in the issuance of flash flood warnings …
Generation of ensemble mean precipitation forecasts from convection-allowing ensembles
Methods for generating ensemble mean precipitation forecasts from convection-allowing
model (CAM) ensembles based on a simple average of all members at each grid point can …
model (CAM) ensembles based on a simple average of all members at each grid point can …