Multifractality and value-at-risk forecasting of exchange rates

JA Batten, H Kinateder, N Wagner - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its …, 2014 - Elsevier
This paper addresses market risk prediction for high frequency foreign exchange rates
under nonlinear risk scaling behaviour. We use a modified version of the multifractal model …

Dependence and extreme correlation among US industry sectors

K Sukcharoen, DJ Leatham - Studies in Economics and Finance, 2016 - emerald.com
Purpose–The purpose of this paper is to examine the degree of dependence and extreme
correlation (ie tail dependence) among US industry sectors. Design/methodology/approach …

The dependence structure and portfolio risk of Malaysia's foreign exchange rates: the Bayesian GARCH–EVT–copula model

XW Yeap, HH Lean, MG Sampid… - International Journal of …, 2021 - emerald.com
Purpose This paper investigates the dependence structure and market risk of the currency
exchange rate portfolio from the Malaysian ringgit perspective. Design/methodology …

[PDF][PDF] Modelling volatility and financial market risk of shares on the Johannesburg stock exchange

MR Makhwiting, M Lesaoana… - African Journal of …, 2012 - academicjournals.org
In this paper, we develop ARMA-GARCH type models for modelling volatility and financial
market risk of shares on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange under the assumption of a …

Emerging financial markets: spatial risks, elicitability of risk models, and shape shift contagion

PO Junior - 2020 - wiredspace.wits.ac.za
The need to compare and contrast emerging market economies (EMEs) has never been
greater, especially following shocks to the global financial system. The quest to characterise …

Improved VaR forecasts using extreme value theory with the Realized GARCH model

S Paul, P Sharma - Studies in Economics and Finance, 2017 - emerald.com
Purpose This study aims to forecast daily value-at-risk (VaR) for international stock indices
by using the conditional extreme value theory (EVT) with the Realized GARCH (RGARCH) …

Modelling conditional heteroskedasticity in JSE stock returns using the Generalised Pareto Distribution

C Sigauke, RM Makhwiting… - African Review of …, 2014 - journals.co.za
Extreme equity market returns demand the use of specialised techniques for standardised
treatment that focuses exclusively on rare tail events. Extreme Value Theory (EVT) is used in …

[HTML][HTML] Importance of generalized logistic distribution in extreme value modeling

K Nidhin, C Chandran - 2013 - scirp.org
We consider a problem from stock market modeling, precisely, choice of adequate
distribution of modeling extremal behavior of stock market data. Generalized extreme value …

On the goodness-of-fits of the generalized lambda distribution on high-frequency stock index returns

P Owusu Junior, N Jeyasreedharan… - Cogent Economics & …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
In this paper, we investigate the goodness-of-fit of the flexible four-parameter generalized
Lambda Distribution (GLD) for high-frequency 5-min returns sampled from the DJI30 Index …

Value-at-risk and expected shortfall using the unbiased extreme value volatility estimator

D Kumar, S Maheswaran - Studies in Economics and Finance, 2017 - emerald.com
Purpose This paper aims to propose a framework based on the unbiased extreme value
volatility estimator (namely, the AddRS estimator) to compute and predict the long position …