Palm theory for extremes of stationary regularly varying time series and random fields

H Planinić - Extremes, 2023 - Springer
The tail process Y=(Y i) i∈ Z d of a stationary regularly varying random field X=(X i) i∈ Z d
represents the asymptotic local distribution of X as seen from its typical exceedance over a …

Large deviations of ℓp-blocks of regularly varying time series and applications to cluster inference

G Buriticá, T Mikosch, O Wintenberger - Stochastic Processes and their …, 2023 - Elsevier
In the regularly varying time series setting, a cluster of exceedances is a short period for
which the supremum norm exceeds a high threshold. We propose to study a generalization …

Stable sums to infer high return levels of multivariate rainfall time series

G Buriticá, P Naveau - Environmetrics, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Heavy rainfall distributional modeling is essential in any impact studies linked to the water
cycle, for example, flood risks. Still, statistical analyses that both take into account the …

On the asymptotics of extremal lp-blocks cluster inference

G Buriticá, O Wintenberger - arxiv preprint arxiv:2212.13521, 2022 - arxiv.org
Extremes occur in stationary regularly varying time series as short periods with several large
observations, known as extremal blocks. We study cluster statistics summarizing the …

Estimators for temporal dependence of extremes

SA Neblung - 2021 - ediss.sub.uni-hamburg.de
For the understanding of the behavior of the extremes of a stationary time series, the
analysis of the extremal dependence in time is of high importance. For quantities describing …

Assessing the time dependence of multivariate extremes for heavy rainfall modeling

G Buriticá - 2022 - hal.science
Nowadays, it is common in environmental sciences to use extreme value theory to assess
the risk of natural hazards. In hydrology, rainfall amounts reach high-intensity levels …

SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: STABLE SUMS TO INFER HIGH RETURN LEVELS OF MULTIVARIATE RAINFALL TIME SERIES

G Buriticá, P Naveau - 2022 - hal.science
First, we complement the case study of heavy rainfall in France by implementing Pareto-
based methods using declustering techniques. Second, we develop on the asymptotic …

Large deviations of lp-blocks of regularly varying time series and applications to cluster inference

T Mikosch, O Wintenberger - 2022 - hal.science
In the regularly varying time series setting, a cluster of exceedances is a short period for
which the supremum norm exceeds a high threshold. We propose to study a generalization …

Anja Janssen1; Holger Drees2; Sebastian Neblung2 Department of Mathematics, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Germany 2 Department of Mathematics …

A Janßen - isi-web.org
The framework of regularly varying time series allows us to describe the extremal
dependence structure of multivariate (heavy-tailed) time series by means of the spectral tail …