Using real-time modelling to inform the 2017 Ebola outbreak response in DR Congo

R Thompson, W Hart, M Keita, I Fall, A Gueye… - Nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Important policy questions during infections disease outbreaks include: i) How effective are
particular interventions?; ii) When can resource-intensive interventions be removed? We …

Optimizing the timing of an end-of-outbreak declaration: Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

WS Hart, JM Buckingham, M Keita… - Science …, 2024 - science.org
Following the apparent final case in an Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak, the decision to
declare the outbreak over must balance societal benefits of relaxing interventions against …

[HTML][HTML] A simulation-based approach for estimating the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated disease incidence time series data

I Ogi-Gittins, WS Hart, J Song, RK Nash, J Polonsky… - Epidemics, 2024 - Elsevier
Tracking pathogen transmissibility during infectious disease outbreaks is essential for
assessing the effectiveness of public health measures and planning future control strategies …

Estimation of end-of-outbreak probabilities in the presence of delayed and incomplete case reporting

MJ Plank, WS Hart, J Polonsky, M Keita… - …, 2025 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Towards the end of an infectious disease outbreak, when a period has elapsed without new
case notifications, a key question for public health policymakers is whether the outbreak can …

Robust estimation of end-of-outbreak probabilities in the presence of delayed and incomplete case reporting

MJ Plank, WS Hart, J Polonsky, M Keita… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
Towards the end of an infectious disease outbreak, when a period has elapsed without new
case notifications, a key question for public health policy makers is whether the outbreak can …

Using real-time modelling to optimise an outbreak response: Insights from the 2017 Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

R Thompson, W Hart, M Keita, I Fall, A Gueye… - 2024 - researchsquare.com
Important questions for policy makers during infections disease outbreaks include: i) How
effective are public health measures?; ii) When can resource-intensive and restrictive …