An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence

SC Sherwood, MJ Webb, JD Annan… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …

Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity

R Knutti, MAA Rugenstein, GC Hegerl - Nature Geoscience, 2017 - nature.com
Equilibrium climate sensitivity characterizes the Earth's long-term global temperature
response to increased atmospheric CO2 concentration. It has reached almost iconic status …

Neural general circulation models for weather and climate

D Kochkov, J Yuval, I Langmore, P Norgaard, J Smith… - Nature, 2024 - nature.com
General circulation models (GCMs) are the foundation of weather and climate prediction,.
GCMs are physics-based simulators that combine a numerical solver for large-scale …

Causes of higher climate sensitivity in CMIP6 models

MD Zelinka, TA Myers, DT McCoy… - Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Equilibrium climate sensitivity, the global surface temperature response to CO doubling, has
been persistently uncertain. Recent consensus places it likely within 1.5–4.5 K. Global …

Observational constraints on low cloud feedback reduce uncertainty of climate sensitivity

TA Myers, RC Scott, MD Zelinka, SA Klein… - Nature Climate …, 2021 - nature.com
Marine low clouds strongly cool the planet. How this cooling effect will respond to climate
change is a leading source of uncertainty in climate sensitivity, the planetary warming …

High climate sensitivity in the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2)

A Gettelman, C Hannay, JT Bacmeister… - Geophysical …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2) has an equilibrium climate
sensitivity (ECS) of 5.3 K. ECS is an emergent property of both climate feedbacks and …

Stable machine-learning parameterization of subgrid processes for climate modeling at a range of resolutions

J Yuval, PA O'Gorman - Nature communications, 2020 - nature.com
Global climate models represent small-scale processes such as convection using subgrid
models known as parameterizations, and these parameterizations contribute substantially to …

Earth system modeling 2.0: A blueprint for models that learn from observations and targeted high‐resolution simulations

T Schneider, S Lan, A Stuart… - Geophysical Research …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Climate projections continue to be marred by large uncertainties, which originate in
processes that need to be parameterized, such as clouds, convection, and ecosystems. But …

Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing

SC Sherwood, S Bony, JL Dufresne - Nature, 2014 - nature.com
Equilibrium climate sensitivity refers to the ultimate change in global mean temperature in
response to a change in external forcing. Despite decades of research attempting to narrow …

Possible climate transitions from breakup of stratocumulus decks under greenhouse warming

T Schneider, CM Kaul, KG Pressel - Nature Geoscience, 2019 - nature.com
Stratocumulus clouds cover 20% of the low-latitude oceans and are especially prevalent in
the subtropics. They cool the Earth by shading large portions of its surface from sunlight …