General stop** behaviors of naïve and noncommitted sophisticated agents, with application to probability distortion

YJ Huang, A Nguyen‐Huu, XY Zhou - Mathematical Finance, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We consider the problem of stop** a diffusion process with a payoff functional that renders
the problem time‐inconsistent. We study stop** decisions of naïve agents who reoptimize …

Understanding gambling behaviour and risk attitudes using cryptocurrency-based casino blockchain data

J Meng, F Fu - Royal Society open science, 2020 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The statistical concept of gambler's ruin suggests that gambling has a large amount of risk.
Nevertheless, gambling at casinos and gambling on the Internet are both hugely popular …

Behavioral mean-variance portfolio selection

J Bi, H **, Q Meng - European Journal of Operational Research, 2018 - Elsevier
In this paper, a behavioral mean-variance portfolio selection problem in continuous time is
formulated and studied. Unlike in the standard mean-variance portfolio selection problem …

Learning to optimally stop diffusion processes, with financial applications

M Dai, Y Sun, ZQ Xu, XY Zhou - ar** for diffusion processes with unknown model primitives within the
continuous-time reinforcement learning (RL) framework developed by Wang et al.(2020) …

Never, ever getting started: On prospect theory without commitment

S Ebert, P Strack - Available at SSRN 2765550, 2018 - papers.ssrn.com
Prospect theory is arguably the most prominent alternative to expected utility theory. We
study the investment or gambling behavior of a prospect theory decision maker who is …

A casino gambling model under cumulative prospect theory: analysis and algorithm

S Hu, J Obłój, XY Zhou - Management Science, 2023 - pubsonline.informs.org
We develop an approach to solve the Barberis casino gambling model [Barberis N (2012) A
model of casino gambling. Management Sci. 58 (1): 35–51] in which a gambler whose …

Randomized strategies and prospect theory in a dynamic context

V Henderson, D Hobson, SL Alex - Journal of Economic Theory, 2017 - Elsevier
When prospect theory (PT) is applied in a dynamic context, the probability weighting
component brings new challenges. We study PT agents facing optimal timing decisions and …

Learning to Optimally Stop a Diffusion Process

M Dai, Y Sun, ZQ Xu, XY Zhou - Available at SSRN, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
We study optimal stop** for a diffusion process with unknown model primitives within the
continuous-time reinforcement learning (RL) framework developed by Wang et al.(2020). By …

From time-inconsistency to time-consistency for optimal stop** problems

S Hu, Z Zhou - PloS one, 2024 - journals.plos.org
For optimal stop** problems with time-inconsistent preference, we measure the inherent
level of time-inconsistency by taking the time required to turn the naive strategies into the …

Eliciting Stop** Times

S Ebert, M Voigt - Available at SSRN 4526931, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
We propose an experimental method to elicit stop** times—each subject's complete
contingent plan for taking a risk for up to five times—to study repeated risk-taking under …