Polls have had a number of high-profile misses in recent elections. We review the current
polling environment, the performance of polls in a historical context, the mechanisms of …

The conservative asymmetry of elite polarization represents a significant puzzle. We argue
that politicians can maintain systematic misperceptions of constituency opinion that may …

Despite the widespread availability of COVID-19 vaccines, the United States has a
depressed rate of vaccination relative to similar countries. Understanding the psychology of …

Understanding motivations underlying acts of hatred are essential for develo** strategies
to prevent such extreme behavioral expressions of prejudice (EBEPs) against marginalized …

Multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) is the current gold standard for
extrapolating opinion data from nationally representative surveys to smaller geographic …

We describe a strategy for applying multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP)
methods to pre-election polling. Using a combination of contemporaneous polling, census …

Although there has been a fast rise in the share of Americans reporting no religion, it is
unclear whether this trend has affected different parts of the country equally. Against this …

This article provides an overview of multilevel regression and post-stratification. It reviews
the stages in estimating opinion for small areas, identifies circumstances in which multilevel …

The Affordable Care Act (ACA) is one of the most consequential policies enacted in recent
decades, but its political divisiveness and complexity call into question whether its effects …

Until recently, the study of representation at the subnational level was hobbled by the lack of
high-quality information about public opinion. The advent of new data sources, however, as …