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Improving hazard map comprehension for protective action decision making
MK Lindell - Frontiers in Computer Science, 2020 - frontiersin.org
A major challenge in the communication of spatial hazard information is the existence of
substantial variation in people's ability to correctly infer the appropriate conclusions from …
substantial variation in people's ability to correctly infer the appropriate conclusions from …
[HTML][HTML] A user-centred design framework for disaster risk visualisation
Visualisations are powerful communication tools that have the potential to help societies
assess and manage natural hazard and disaster risks. However, the diversity of risk …
assess and manage natural hazard and disaster risks. However, the diversity of risk …
[HTML][HTML] Width of surface rupture zone for thrust earthquakes: implications for earthquake fault zoning
The criteria for zoning the surface fault rupture hazard (SFRH) along thrust faults are defined
by analysing the characteristics of the areas of coseismic surface faulting in thrust …
by analysing the characteristics of the areas of coseismic surface faulting in thrust …
Multi-level emulation of a volcanic ash transport and dispersion model to quantify sensitivity to uncertain parameters
Following the disruption to European airspace caused by the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull in
2010 there has been a move towards producing quantitative predictions of volcanic ash …
2010 there has been a move towards producing quantitative predictions of volcanic ash …
Calculating and communicating ensemble‐based volcanic ash dosage and concentration risk for aviation
During volcanic eruptions, aviation stakeholders require an assessment of the volcanic ash
hazard. Operators and regulators are required to make fast decisions based on deterministic …
hazard. Operators and regulators are required to make fast decisions based on deterministic …
Are we talking just a bit of water out of bank? Or is it Armageddon? Front line perspectives on transitioning to probabilistic fluvial flood forecasts in England
L Arnal, L Anspoks, S Manson… - Geoscience …, 2019 - gc.copernicus.org
The inclusion of uncertainty in flood forecasts is a recent, important yet challenging
endeavour. In the chaotic and far from certain world we live in, probabilistic estimates of …
endeavour. In the chaotic and far from certain world we live in, probabilistic estimates of …
The Met Office Weather Game: investigating how different methods for presenting probabilistic weather forecasts influence decision-making
To inform the way probabilistic forecasts would be displayed on their website, the UK Met
Office ran an online game as a mass participation experiment to highlight the best methods …
Office ran an online game as a mass participation experiment to highlight the best methods …
Quantifying the impact of meteorological uncertainty on emission estimates and the risk to aviation using source inversion for the Raikoke 2019 eruption
Due to the remote location of many volcanoes, there is substantial uncertainty about the
timing, amount and vertical distribution of volcanic ash released when they erupt. One …
timing, amount and vertical distribution of volcanic ash released when they erupt. One …
Map-based ensemble forecasts for maritime operations: An interactive usability assessment with decision scenarios
Previous research indicates that forecast uncertainty can, in certain formats and decision
contexts, provide actionable insights that help users in their decision-making. However, how …
contexts, provide actionable insights that help users in their decision-making. However, how …
[HTML][HTML] The impact of ensemble meteorology on inverse modeling estimates of volcano emissions and ash dispersion forecasts: Grímsvötn 2011
Volcanic ash can interact with the earth system on many temporal and spatial scales and is
a significant hazard to aircraft. In the event of a volcanic eruption, fast and robust decisions …
a significant hazard to aircraft. In the event of a volcanic eruption, fast and robust decisions …