Predictive models are central to many scientific disciplines and vital for informing
management in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of the accuracy …

In an epoch of rapid environmental change, understanding and predicting how biodiversity
will respond to a changing climate is an urgent challenge. Since we seldom have sufficient …

This book introduces the key stages of niche-based habitat suitability model building,
evaluation and prediction required for understanding and predicting future patterns of …

Aim Species distribution modelling, a family of statistical methods that predicts species
distributions from a set of occurrences and environmental predictors, is now routinely …

“Space-for-time” substitution is widely used in biodiversity modeling to infer past or future
trajectories of ecological systems from contemporary spatial patterns. However, the …

In a rapidly changing world, ecology has the potential to move from empirical and
conceptual stages to application and management issues. It is now possible to make large …

Context More than a century of forest and fire management of Inland Pacific landscapes has
transformed their successional and disturbance dynamics. Regional connectivity of many …

Coincident with recent global warming, species have shifted their geographic distributions to
cooler environments, generally by moving along thermal axes to higher latitudes, higher …

How individual species and entire ecosystems will respond to future climate change are
among the most pressing questions facing ecologists. Past biodiversity dynamics recorded …

Landscapes and the ecological processes they support are inherently complex systems, in
that they have large numbers of heterogeneous components that interact in multiple ways …