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[HTML][HTML] Nonstationary weather and water extremes: a review of methods for their detection, attribution, and management
Hydroclimatic extremes such as intense rainfall, floods, droughts, heatwaves, and wind or
storms have devastating effects each year. One of the key challenges for society is …
storms have devastating effects each year. One of the key challenges for society is …
[HTML][HTML] Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities
Weather and climate extremes are identified as major areas necessitating further progress in
climate research and have thus been selected as one of the World Climate Research …
climate research and have thus been selected as one of the World Climate Research …
Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change
Disastrous bushfires during the last months of 2019 and January 2020 affected Australia,
raising the question to what extent the risk of these fires was exacerbated by anthropogenic …
raising the question to what extent the risk of these fires was exacerbated by anthropogenic …
Heatwave attribution based on reliable operational weather forecasts
Abstract The 2021 Pacific Northwest heatwave was so extreme as to challenge conventional
statistical and climate-model-based approaches to extreme weather attribution. However …
statistical and climate-model-based approaches to extreme weather attribution. However …
Snow–atmosphere coupling in the Northern Hemisphere
Local and remote impacts of seasonal snow cover on atmospheric circulation have been
explored extensively, with observational and modelling efforts focusing on how Eurasian …
explored extensively, with observational and modelling efforts focusing on how Eurasian …
Causes of climate change over the historical record
This review addresses the causes of observed climate variations across the industrial
period, from 1750 to present. It focuses on long-term changes, both in response to external …
period, from 1750 to present. It focuses on long-term changes, both in response to external …
Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution
Climate change is sha** extreme heat and rain. To what degree human activity has
increased the risk of high impact events is of high public concern and still heavily debated …
increased the risk of high impact events is of high public concern and still heavily debated …
Unidirectional trends in annual and seasonal climate and extremes in Egypt
The presence of short-and long-term autocorrelations can lead to considerable change in
significance of trend in hydro-climatic time series. Therefore, past findings of climatic trend …
significance of trend in hydro-climatic time series. Therefore, past findings of climatic trend …
Verification of extreme event attribution: Using out-of-sample observations to assess changes in probabilities of unprecedented events
NS Diffenbaugh - Science Advances, 2020 - science.org
Independent verification of anthropogenic influence on specific extreme climate events
remains elusive. This study presents a framework for such verification. This framework …
remains elusive. This study presents a framework for such verification. This framework …
An intercomparison of skill and overconfidence/underconfidence of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation in multimodel seasonal forecasts
Recent studies of individual seasonal forecast systems have shown that the wintertime North
Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) can be skillfully forecast. However, it has also been suggested that …
Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) can be skillfully forecast. However, it has also been suggested that …