An epidemic disease caused by a new coronavirus has spread in Northern Italy with a
strong contagion rate. We implement an SEIR model to compute the infected population and …

Abstract The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic that emerged from Wuhan city in
December 2019 overwhelmed health systems and paralyzed economies around the world. It …

We develop a new method for estimating the effective reproduction number of an infectious
disease (R) and apply it to track the dynamics of COVID-19. The method is based on the fact …

This note lays out the basic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemiological model of
contagion, with a target audience of economists who want a framework for understanding …

We develop a multi-sector-country model with input-output linkages to study the effects of
sectoral demand and supply shocks within the global trade and production network. Using …

This paper is concerned with the optimal influenza vaccine distribution in a heterogeneous
population consisting of multiple subgroups. We employ a compartmental model for …

We characterize the policies of containment of the epidemic that are efficient with respect to
number of fatalities and GDP loss. Prudent policies of gradual return to work may save many …

The model-informed drug discovery and development paradigm is now well established
among the pharmaceutical industry and regulatory agencies. This success has been mainly …

Due to the recent evolution of the COVID-19 outbreak, the scientific community is making
efforts to analyse models for understanding the present situation and for predicting future …

The novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2), identified in China at the end of December 2019 and
causing the disease COVID-19, has meanwhile led to outbreaks all over the globe with …