A survey of human judgement and quantitative forecasting methods
M Zellner, AE Abbas, DV Budescu… - Royal Society open …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
This paper's top-level goal is to provide an overview of research conducted in the many
academic domains concerned with forecasting. By providing a summary encompassing …
academic domains concerned with forecasting. By providing a summary encompassing …
Temporal knowledge graph reasoning based on evolutional representation learning
Knowledge Graph (KG) reasoning that predicts missing facts for incomplete KGs has been
widely explored. However, reasoning over Temporal KG (TKG) that predicts facts in the …
widely explored. However, reasoning over Temporal KG (TKG) that predicts facts in the …
Recurrent event network: Autoregressive structure inference over temporal knowledge graphs
Knowledge graph reasoning is a critical task in natural language processing. The task
becomes more challenging on temporal knowledge graphs, where each fact is associated …
becomes more challenging on temporal knowledge graphs, where each fact is associated …
Search from history and reason for future: Two-stage reasoning on temporal knowledge graphs
Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) have been developed and used in many different
areas. Reasoning on TKGs that predicts potential facts (events) in the future brings great …
areas. Reasoning on TKGs that predicts potential facts (events) in the future brings great …
Exploring and Visualizing Research Progress and Emerging Trends of Event Prediction: A Survey
S Xu, J Liu, S Li, S Yang, F Li - Applied Sciences, 2023 - mdpi.com
Over the last decade, event prediction has drawn attention from both academic and industry
communities, resulting in a substantial volume of scientific papers published in a wide range …
communities, resulting in a substantial volume of scientific papers published in a wide range …
Predicting social unrest events with hidden Markov models using GDELT
F Qiao, P Li, X Zhang, Z Ding, J Cheng… - Discrete Dynamics in …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Proactive handling of social unrest events which are common happenings in both
democracies and authoritarian regimes requires that the risk of upcoming social unrest …
democracies and authoritarian regimes requires that the risk of upcoming social unrest …
Statistical inference, learning and models in big data
The need for new methods to deal with big data is a common theme in most scientific fields,
although its definition tends to vary with the context. Statistical ideas are an essential part of …
although its definition tends to vary with the context. Statistical ideas are an essential part of …
An adaptive logical rule embedding model for inductive reasoning over temporal knowledge graphs
Temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) extrapolation reasoning predicts future events based
on historical information, which has great research significance and broad application value …
on historical information, which has great research significance and broad application value …
Twitter geolocation: A hybrid approach
J Bakerman, K Pazdernik, A Wilson… - ACM Transactions on …, 2018 - dl.acm.org
Geotagging Twitter messages is an important tool for event detection and enrichment.
Despite the availability of both social media content and user network information, these two …
Despite the availability of both social media content and user network information, these two …
Future protest made risky: Examining social media based civil unrest prediction research and products
G Grill - Computer Supported Cooperative Work (CSCW), 2021 - Springer
Social media has both been hailed for enabling social movements and critiqued for its
affordances as a surveillance infrastructure. In this work, I focus on the latter by analyzing …
affordances as a surveillance infrastructure. In this work, I focus on the latter by analyzing …