A survey of human judgement and quantitative forecasting methods

M Zellner, AE Abbas, DV Budescu… - Royal Society open …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
This paper's top-level goal is to provide an overview of research conducted in the many
academic domains concerned with forecasting. By providing a summary encompassing …

Temporal knowledge graph reasoning based on evolutional representation learning

Z Li, X **, W Li, S Guan, J Guo, H Shen… - Proceedings of the 44th …, 2021 - dl.acm.org
Knowledge Graph (KG) reasoning that predicts missing facts for incomplete KGs has been
widely explored. However, reasoning over Temporal KG (TKG) that predicts facts in the …

Recurrent event network: Autoregressive structure inference over temporal knowledge graphs

W **, M Qu, X **, X Ren - arxiv preprint arxiv:1904.05530, 2019 - arxiv.org
Knowledge graph reasoning is a critical task in natural language processing. The task
becomes more challenging on temporal knowledge graphs, where each fact is associated …

Search from history and reason for future: Two-stage reasoning on temporal knowledge graphs

Z Li, X **, S Guan, W Li, J Guo, Y Wang… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2021 - arxiv.org
Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) have been developed and used in many different
areas. Reasoning on TKGs that predicts potential facts (events) in the future brings great …

Exploring and Visualizing Research Progress and Emerging Trends of Event Prediction: A Survey

S Xu, J Liu, S Li, S Yang, F Li - Applied Sciences, 2023 - mdpi.com
Over the last decade, event prediction has drawn attention from both academic and industry
communities, resulting in a substantial volume of scientific papers published in a wide range …

Predicting social unrest events with hidden Markov models using GDELT

F Qiao, P Li, X Zhang, Z Ding, J Cheng… - Discrete Dynamics in …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Proactive handling of social unrest events which are common happenings in both
democracies and authoritarian regimes requires that the risk of upcoming social unrest …

Statistical inference, learning and models in big data

B Franke, JF Plante, R Roscher, EA Lee… - International …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
The need for new methods to deal with big data is a common theme in most scientific fields,
although its definition tends to vary with the context. Statistical ideas are an essential part of …

An adaptive logical rule embedding model for inductive reasoning over temporal knowledge graphs

X Mei, L Yang, X Cai, Z Jiang - Proceedings of the 2022 …, 2022 - aclanthology.org
Temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) extrapolation reasoning predicts future events based
on historical information, which has great research significance and broad application value …

Twitter geolocation: A hybrid approach

J Bakerman, K Pazdernik, A Wilson… - ACM Transactions on …, 2018 - dl.acm.org
Geotagging Twitter messages is an important tool for event detection and enrichment.
Despite the availability of both social media content and user network information, these two …

Future protest made risky: Examining social media based civil unrest prediction research and products

G Grill - Computer Supported Cooperative Work (CSCW), 2021 - Springer
Social media has both been hailed for enabling social movements and critiqued for its
affordances as a surveillance infrastructure. In this work, I focus on the latter by analyzing …