Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales

GA Meehl, JH Richter, H Teng, A Capotondi… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …

Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information

JY Lee, J Marotzke, G Bala, L Cao, S Corti, JP Dunne… - 2021 - ora.ox.ac.uk
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …

Decadal climate variability and predictability: Challenges and opportunities

C Cassou, Y Kushnir, E Hawkins… - Bulletin of the …, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract The study of Decadal Climate Variability (DCV) and Predictability is the
interdisciplinary endeavor to characterize, understand, attribute, simulate, and predict the …

Human influence on the climate system (Chapter 3)

V Eyring, NP Gillett, KM Achuta Rao, R Barimalala… - 2021 - pure.iiasa.ac.at
The AR5 concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear, evident from
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …

[HTML][HTML] Description and basic evaluation of simulated mean state, internal variability, and climate sensitivity in MIROC6

H Tatebe, T Ogura, T Nitta, Y Komuro… - Geoscientific Model …, 2019 - gmd.copernicus.org
The sixth version of the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate (MIROC), called
MIROC6, was cooperatively developed by a Japanese modeling community. In the present …

[HTML][HTML] Development of the MIROC-ES2L Earth system model and the evaluation of biogeochemical processes and feedbacks

T Hajima, M Watanabe, A Yamamoto… - Geoscientific Model …, 2020 - gmd.copernicus.org
This article describes the new Earth system model (ESM), the Model for Interdisciplinary
Research on Climate, Earth System version 2 for Long-term simulations (MIROC-ES2L) …

Enhanced risk of record-breaking regional temperatures during the 2023–24 El Niño

N Jiang, C Zhu, ZZ Hu, MJ McPhaden, D Chen, B Liu… - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
In 2023, the development of El Niño is poised to drive a global upsurge in surface air
temperatures (SAT), potentially resulting in unprecedented warming worldwide …

[HTML][HTML] Persistent discrepancies between observed and modeled trends in the tropical Pacific Ocean

R Seager, N Henderson, M Cane - Journal of Climate, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
The trends over recent decades in tropical Pacific sea surface and upper ocean temperature
are examined in observations-based products, an ocean reanalysis and the latest models …

West Antarctic ice loss influenced by internal climate variability and anthropogenic forcing

PR Holland, TJ Bracegirdle, P Dutrieux, A Jenkins… - Nature …, 2019 - nature.com
Recent ice loss from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet has been caused by ocean melting of ice
shelves in the Amundsen Sea. Eastward wind anomalies at the shelf break enhance the …

Enhanced warming constrained by past trends in equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature gradient

M Watanabe, JL Dufresne, Y Kosaka… - Nature Climate …, 2021 - nature.com
The equatorial Pacific zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradient, known to be a
pacemaker of global warming, has strengthened since the mid-twentieth century. However …