Status and prospects for drought forecasting: Opportunities in artificial intelligence and hybrid physical–statistical forecasting

A AghaKouchak, B Pan… - … of the Royal …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Despite major improvements in weather and climate modelling and substantial increases in
remotely sensed observations, drought prediction remains a major challenge. After a review …

Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study

Y Tang, RH Zhang, T Liu, W Duan, D Yang… - National Science …, 2018 - academic.oup.com
ENSO is the strongest interannual signal in the global climate system with worldwide
climatic, ecological and societal impacts. Over the past decades, the research about ENSO …

[HTML][HTML] The Canadian earth system model version 5 (CanESM5. 0.3)

NC Swart, JNS Cole, VV Kharin… - Geoscientific Model …, 2019 - gmd.copernicus.org
Abstract The Canadian Earth System Model version 5 (CanESM5) is a global model
developed to simulate historical climate change and variability, to make centennial-scale …

Evaluation of climate models

G Flato, J Marotzke, B Abiodun, P Braconnot… - Climate change 2013 …, 2014 - pure.mpg.de
Climate models have continued to be developed and improved since the AR4, and many
models have been extended into Earth System models by including the representation of …

Global seasonal forecasts of marine heatwaves

MG Jacox, MA Alexander, D Amaya, E Becker… - Nature, 2022 - nature.com
Marine heatwaves (MHWs)—periods of exceptionally warm ocean temperature lasting
weeks to years—are now widely recognized for their capacity to disrupt marine ecosystems …

Near-term climate change: projections and predictability

B Kirtman, SB Power, AJ Adedoyin, GJ Boer, R Bojariu… - 2013 - pure.iiasa.ac.at
This chapter assesses the scientific literature describing expectations for near-term climate
(present through mid-century). Unless otherwise stated," near-term" change and the …

[HTML][HTML] The North American multimodel ensemble: phase-1 seasonal-to-interannual prediction; phase-2 toward develo** intraseasonal prediction

BP Kirtman, D Min, JM Infanti, JL Kinter… - Bulletin of the …, 2014 - journals.ametsoc.org
Berner, J., FJ Doblas-Reyes, TN Palmer, G. Shutts, and A. Weisheimer, 2008: Impact of a
quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and …

Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden‐Julian oscillation: Exploring key model physics in climate simulations

X Jiang, DE Waliser, PK Xavier, J Petch… - Journal of …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Aimed at reducing deficiencies in representing the Madden‐Julian oscillation (MJO) in
general circulation models (GCMs), a global model evaluation project on vertical structure …

Ecological forecasts for marine resource management during climate extremes

S Brodie, M Pozo Buil, H Welch, SJ Bograd… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Forecasting weather has become commonplace, but as society faces novel and uncertain
environmental conditions there is a critical need to forecast ecology. Forewarning of …

Meteorological drought forecasting for ungauged areas based on machine learning: Using long-range climate forecast and remote sensing data

J Rhee, J Im - Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2017 - Elsevier
A high-resolution drought forecast model for ungauged areas was developed in this study.
The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Precipitation …