Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity

R Knutti, MAA Rugenstein, GC Hegerl - Nature Geoscience, 2017 - nature.com
Equilibrium climate sensitivity characterizes the Earth's long-term global temperature
response to increased atmospheric CO2 concentration. It has reached almost iconic status …

The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections

C Tebaldi, R Knutti - … transactions of the royal society A …, 2007 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Recent coordinated efforts, in which numerous climate models have been run for a common
set of experiments, have produced large datasets of projections of future climate for various …

Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information

JY Lee, J Marotzke, G Bala, L Cao, S Corti… - Climate change 2021 …, 2021 - cambridge.org
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …

Evaluation of climate models

G Flato, J Marotzke, B Abiodun, P Braconnot… - Climate change 2013 …, 2014 - pure.mpg.de
Climate models have continued to be developed and improved since the AR4, and many
models have been extended into Earth System models by including the representation of …

Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates

J Rogelj, M Meinshausen, R Knutti - Nature climate change, 2012 - nature.com
Climate projections for the fourth assessment report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) were based on scenarios from the Special Report on Emissions …

Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 C

M Meinshausen, N Meinshausen, W Hare, SCB Raper… - Nature, 2009 - nature.com
More than 100 countries have adopted a global warming limit of 2° C or below (relative to
pre-industrial levels) as a guiding principle for mitigation efforts to reduce climate change …

Challenges in combining projections from multiple climate models

R Knutti, R Furrer, C Tebaldi, J Cermak… - Journal of …, 2010 - journals.ametsoc.org
Recent coordinated efforts, in which numerous general circulation climate models have
been run for a common set of experiments, have produced large datasets of projections of …

[PDF][PDF] Climate models and their evaluation

DA Randall, RA Wood, S Bony, R Colman… - Climate change 2007 …, 2007 - pure.mpg.de
This chapter assesses the capacity of the global climate models used elsewhere in this
report for projecting future climate change. Confidence in model estimates of future climate …

Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama?

K Brysse, N Oreskes, J O'reilly… - Global environmental …, 2013 - Elsevier
Over the past two decades, skeptics of the reality and significance of anthropogenic climate
change have frequently accused climate scientists of “alarmism”: of over-interpreting or …

[BOG][B] Environmental modelling: an uncertain future?

K Beven - 2018 - taylorfrancis.com
Uncertainty in the predictions of science when applied to the environment is an issue of
great current relevance in relation to the impacts of climate change, protecting against …