The financial economics of gold—A survey

FA O'Connor, BM Lucey, JA Batten, DG Baur - International Review of …, 2015 - Elsevier
We review the literature on gold as an investment. We summarize a wide variety of literature,
including the papers in this special issue of International Review of Financial Analysis to …

Phillips curve inflation forecasts

JH Stock, MW Watson - 2008 - nber.org
This paper surveys the literature since 1993 on pseudo out-of-sample evaluation of inflation
forecasts in the United States and conducts an extensive empirical analysis that …

How to estimate a vector autoregression after March 2020

M Lenza, GE Primiceri - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
This paper illustrates how to handle a sequence of extreme observations—such as those
recorded during the COVID‐19 pandemic—when estimating a vector autoregression, which …

The slope of the Phillips Curve: evidence from US states

J Hazell, J Herreno, E Nakamura… - The Quarterly Journal …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
We estimate the slope of the Phillips curve in the cross section of US states using newly
constructed state-level price indices for nontradeable goods back to 1978. Our estimates …

One-stop source: A global database of inflation

J Ha, MA Kose, F Ohnsorge - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper introduces a global database that contains inflation series:(i) for a wide range of
inflation measures (headline, food, energy, and core consumer price inflation; producer …

Ship** costs and inflation

Y Carrière-Swallow, P Deb, D Furceri… - Journal of International …, 2023 - Elsevier
The Covid-19 pandemic has disrupted global supply chains, leading to shipment delays and
soaring ship** costs. We study the impact of global ship** costs—measured by the …

The formation of expectations, inflation, and the phillips curve

O Coibion, Y Gorodnichenko, R Kamdar - Journal of Economic …, 2018 - aeaweb.org
This paper argues for a careful (re) consideration of the expectations formation process and
a more systematic inclusion of real-time expectations through survey data in macroeconomic …

Forecasting inflation in a data-rich environment: the benefits of machine learning methods

MC Medeiros, GFR Vasconcelos, Á Veiga… - Journal of Business & …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
Inflation forecasting is an important but difficult task. Here, we explore advances in machine
learning (ML) methods and the availability of new datasets to forecast US inflation. Despite …

Oil prices and inflation dynamics: Evidence from advanced and develo** economies

S Choi, D Furceri, P Loungani, S Mishra… - Journal of International …, 2018 - Elsevier
We study the impact of fluctuations in global oil prices on domestic inflation using an
unbalanced panel of 72 advanced and develo** economies over the period from 1970 to …

Safety, liquidity, and the natural rate of interest

M Del Negro, D Giannone, MP Giannoni… - Brookings Papers on …, 2017 - muse.jhu.edu
Why are interest rates so low in the Unites States? We find that they are low primarily
because the premium for safety and liquidity has increased since the late 1990s, and to a …