Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales

GA Meehl, JH Richter, H Teng, A Capotondi… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …

An overview of the performance of CMIP6 models in the tropical Atlantic: mean state, variability, and remote impacts

I Richter, H Tokinaga - Climate Dynamics, 2020 - Springer
General circulation models of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6)
are examined with respect to their ability to simulate the mean state and variability of the …

[HTML][HTML] Tropical cyclones and climate change assessment: Part II: Projected response to anthropogenic warming

T Knutson, SJ Camargo, JCL Chan… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment: Part II: Projected Response to
Anthropogenic Warming in: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Volume 101 …

Equatorial Atlantic variability—Modes, mechanisms, and global teleconnections

JF Lübbecke, B Rodríguez‐Fonseca… - Wiley …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Sea surface temperature (SST) variability in the tropical Atlantic Ocean strongly impacts the
climate on the surrounding continents. On interannual time scales, highest SST variability …

The tropical Atlantic observing system

GR Foltz, P Brandt, I Richter… - Frontiers in Marine …, 2019 - frontiersin.org
The tropical Atlantic is home to multiple coupled climate variations covering a wide range of
timescales and impacting societally relevant phenomena such as continental rainfall …

[HTML][HTML] The seasonal-to-multiyear large ensemble (SMYLE) prediction system using the Community Earth System Model version 2

SG Yeager, N Rosenbloom, AA Glanville… - Geoscientific Model …, 2022 - gmd.copernicus.org
The potential for multiyear prediction of impactful Earth system change remains relatively
underexplored compared to shorter (subseasonal to seasonal) and longer (decadal) …

Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the Tropical Atlantic

A Voldoire, E Exarchou, E Sanchez-Gomez… - Climate Dynamics, 2019 - Springer
Coupled climate models used for long-term future climate projections and seasonal or
decadal predictions share a systematic and persistent warm sea surface temperature (SST) …

Diabatic heating governs the seasonality of the Atlantic Niño

HC Nnamchi, M Latif, NS Keenlyside… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract The Atlantic Niño is the leading mode of interannual sea-surface temperature (SST)
variability in the equatorial Atlantic and assumed to be largely governed by coupled ocean …

Relating model bias and prediction skill in the equatorial Atlantic

F Counillon, N Keenlyside, T Toniazzo, S Koseki… - Climate Dynamics, 2021 - Springer
We investigate the impact of large climatological biases in the tropical Atlantic on reanalysis
and seasonal prediction performance using the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model …

Revisiting the tropical atlantic influence on El Niño–Southern oscillation

I Richter, H Tokinaga, Y Kosaka, T Doi… - Journal of …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
The influence of the tropical Atlantic on El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is examined
using sensitivity experiments with the SINTEX-F general circulation model with prescribed …