Characterizing half‐a‐degree difference: a review of methods for identifying regional climate responses to global warming targets

R James, R Washington… - Wiley …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
The Paris Agreement long‐term global temperature goal refers to two global warming levels:
well below 2° C and 1.5° C above preindustrial. Regional climate signals at specific global …

The potential for skill across the range of the seamless weather‐climate prediction problem: a stimulus for our science

B Hoskins - Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
Predictability is considered in the context of the seamless weather‐climate prediction
problem, and the notion is developed that there can be predictive power on all time‐scales …

Evaluation of climate models

G Flato, J Marotzke, B Abiodun, P Braconnot… - Climate change 2013 …, 2014 - pure.mpg.de
Climate models have continued to be developed and improved since the AR4, and many
models have been extended into Earth System models by including the representation of …

Global semi-arid climate change over last 60 years

J Huang, M Ji, Y **e, S Wang, Y He, J Ran - Climate Dynamics, 2016 - Springer
This study analyzes areal changes and regional climate variations in global semi-arid
regions over 61 years (1948–2008) and investigates the dynamics of global semi-arid …

The Pacific decadal oscillation, revisited

M Newman, MA Alexander, TR Ault… - Journal of …, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
The Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), the dominant year-round pattern of monthly North
Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) variability, is an important target of ongoing research …

A tripole index for the interdecadal Pacific oscillation

BJ Henley, J Gergis, DJ Karoly, S Power, J Kennedy… - Climate dynamics, 2015 - Springer
A new index is developed for the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, termed the IPO Tripole
Index (TPI). The IPO is associated with a distinct 'tripole'pattern of sea surface temperature …

The HadGEM2-ES implementation of CMIP5 centennial simulations

CD Jones, JK Hughes, N Bellouin… - Geoscientific Model …, 2011 - gmd.copernicus.org
The scientific understanding of the Earth's climate system, including the central question of
how the climate system is likely to respond to human-induced perturbations, is …

Western tropical Pacific multidecadal variability forced by the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation

C Sun, F Kucharski, J Li, FF **, IS Kang… - Nature …, 2017 - nature.com
Observational analysis suggests that the western tropical Pacific (WTP) sea surface
temperature (SST) shows predominant variability over multidecadal time scales, which is …

Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon intensified by mega-El Niño/southern oscillation and Atlantic multidecadal oscillation

B Wang, J Liu, HJ Kim, PJ Webster, SY Yim… - Proceedings of the …, 2013 - pnas.org
Prediction of monsoon changes in the coming decades is important for infrastructure
planning and sustainable economic development. The decadal prediction involves both …

The summer North Atlantic Oscillation: past, present, and future

CK Folland, J Knight, HW Linderholm… - Journal of …, 2009 - journals.ametsoc.org
Summer climate in the North Atlantic–European sector possesses a principal pattern of year-
to-year variability that is the parallel to the well-known North Atlantic Oscillation in winter …