A signal-to-noise paradox in climate science

AA Scaife, D Smith - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2018‏ - nature.com
We review the growing evidence for a widespread inconsistency between the low strength of
predictable signals in climate models and the relatively high level of agreement they exhibit …

The early 20th century warming: Anomalies, causes, and consequences

GC Hegerl, S Brönnimann, A Schurer… - Wiley Interdisciplinary …, 2018‏ - Wiley Online Library
The most pronounced warming in the historical global climate record prior to the recent
warming occurred over the first half of the 20th century and is known as the Early Twentieth …

[HTML][HTML] Western tropical Pacific multidecadal variability forced by the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation

C Sun, F Kucharski, J Li, FF **, IS Kang… - Nature …, 2017‏ - nature.com
Observational analysis suggests that the western tropical Pacific (WTP) sea surface
temperature (SST) shows predominant variability over multidecadal time scales, which is …

North Atlantic oscillation controls multidecadal changes in the North Tropical Atlantic− Pacific connection

R Ding, HC Nnamchi, JY Yu, T Li, C Sun, J Li… - Nature …, 2023‏ - nature.com
By exciting subtropical teleconnections, sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the
North Tropical Atlantic (NTA) during boreal spring can trigger El Niño-Southern Oscillation …

Coupled stratosphere-troposphere-Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its importance for near-future climate projection

NE Omrani, N Keenlyside, K Matthes, L Boljka… - NPJ Climate and …, 2022‏ - nature.com
Northern Hemisphere (NH) climate has experienced various coherent wintertime
multidecadal climate trends in stratosphere, troposphere, ocean, and cryosphere. However …

Dynamic wavelet correlation analysis for multivariate climate time series

JM Polanco-Martínez, J Fernández-Macho… - Scientific Reports, 2020‏ - nature.com
The wavelet local multiple correlation (WLMC) is introduced for the first time in the study of
climate dynamics inferred from multivariate climate time series. To exemplify the use of …

[HTML][HTML] Ocean–atmosphere dynamical coupling fundamental to the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation

RCJ Wills, KC Armour, DS Battisti… - Journal of …, 2019‏ - journals.ametsoc.org
Ocean–Atmosphere Dynamical Coupling Fundamental to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
in: Journal of Climate Volume 32 Issue 1 (2019) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation …

Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty

CH O'Reilly, DJ Befort, A Weisheimer… - … Earth & Environment, 2021‏ - nature.com
Internal climate variability will play a major role in determining change on regional scales
under global warming. In the extratropics, large-scale atmospheric circulation is responsible …

Influence of the NAO on wintertime surface air temperature over East Asia: Multidecadal variability and decadal prediction

J Li, T **e, X Tang, H Wang, C Sun, J Feng… - … in Atmospheric Sciences, 2022‏ - Springer
In this paper, we investigate the influence of the winter NAO on the multidecadal variability of
winter East Asian surface air temperature (EASAT) and EASAT decadal prediction. The …

Improved extratropical North Atlantic atmosphere–ocean variability with increasing ocean model resolution

CR Patrizio, PJ Athanasiadis, C Frankignoul… - Journal of …, 2023‏ - journals.ametsoc.org
North Atlantic atmosphere–ocean variability is assessed in climate model simulations from
HighResMIP that have low resolution (LR) or high resolution (HR) in their atmosphere and …