The transition from stagnation to growth and the associated phenomenon of the great
divergence have been the subject of an intensive research in the growth literature in recent …

In this survey, we argue that the economic analysis of fertility has entered a new era. First-
generation models of fertility choice were designed to account for two empirical regularities …

High-income countries have generally experienced falling fertility in recent decades. In most
of these countries, the total fertility rate is now below the level that implies a stable …

Why are people in the richest countries of the world so much richer today than 100 years
ago? And why are some countries so much richer than others? Questions such as these …

This paper develops the theoretical foundations and the testable implications of the various
mechanisms that have been proposed as possible triggers for the demographic transition …

This paper investigates the hypothesis that the causal effect of life expectancy on income per
capita growth is non-monotonic. This hypothesis follows from the recent literature on unified …

Analyzing a variety of cross-national and sub-national data, we argue that high adult
mortality reduces economic growth by shortening time horizons. Paying careful attention to …

In every developed country, the economic transition from pre-industrial stagnation to modern
growth was accompanied by a demographic transition from high to low fertility. Even though …

We investigate the consequences of population aging for long-run economic growth
perspectives. Our framework incorporates endogenous growth models and semi …

The trade-off between child quantity and quality is a crucial ingredient of unified growth
models that explain the transition from Malthusian stagnation to modern growth. We present …