High confidence has been associated with high accuracy under certain conditions. Yet, how
researchers operationalize 'high confidence'varies across publications and depends on who …

Past research on advice-taking has suggested that people are often insensitive to the level
of advice independence when combining forecasts from advisors. However, this has …

Expert judgment often involves estimating magnitudes, such as the frequency of deaths due
to a pandemic. Three experiments (Ns= 902, 431, and 755, respectively) were conducted to …

Eyewitness confidence is typically communicated verbally (eg, certain). Interpretations for
verbal confidence statements are variable which could affect decision‐making. I explored …

The communication of uncertainties needs to be as precise as possible to enable the
receiver of risk-messages to adapt their behavior appropriately. However, the …

Verbal probability is categorized into two types in terms of directionality: positive (suggesting
the occurrence of a target outcome such as “it is likely”) or negative (suggesting the …

In today's world driven by technological developments and digital transformation, the
implementation of customized decision-making systems with properly designed strategical …

Uncertainty is an inherent feature of international relations–particularly, when it comes to
matters of national security. Decision-makers are forced to make highly consequential …

Expert judgment often involves estimating magnitudes, such as the frequency of deaths due
to a pandemic. Two experiments (Ns= 902 and 431, respectively) were conducted to …

Expert judgment often involves estimating magnitudes, such as the frequency of deaths due
to a pandemic. Three experiments (Ns= 902, 431, and 755, respectively) were conducted to …