North American drought: Reconstructions, causes, and consequences
Severe drought is the greatest recurring natural disaster to strike North America. A
remarkable network of centuries-long annual tree-ring chronologies has now allowed for the …
remarkable network of centuries-long annual tree-ring chronologies has now allowed for the …
Understanding El Niño in ocean–atmosphere general circulation models: Progress and challenges
Determining how El Niño and its impacts may change over the next 10 to 100 years remains
a difficult scientific challenge. Ocean-atmosphere coupled general circulation models …
a difficult scientific challenge. Ocean-atmosphere coupled general circulation models …
Evaluation of climate models
Climate models have continued to be developed and improved since the AR4, and many
models have been extended into Earth System models by including the representation of …
models have been extended into Earth System models by including the representation of …
Regional climate trends and scenarios for the US National Climate Assessment: Part 2. Climate of the Southeast US
KE Kunkel, LE Stevens, SE Stevens, L Sun, E Janssen… - 2013 - repository.library.noaa.gov
This document has two main sections: one on historical conditions and trends, and the other
on future conditions as simulated by climate models. The historical section concentrates on …
on future conditions as simulated by climate models. The historical section concentrates on …
[PDF][PDF] Climate models and their evaluation
This chapter assesses the capacity of the global climate models used elsewhere in this
report for projecting future climate change. Confidence in model estimates of future climate …
report for projecting future climate change. Confidence in model estimates of future climate …
Amazonian forest dieback under climate-carbon cycle projections for the 21st century
The first GCM climate change projections to include dynamic vegetation and an interactive
carbon cycle produced a very significant amplification of global warming over the 21st …
carbon cycle produced a very significant amplification of global warming over the 21st …
[HTML][HTML] The impact of convection on ENSO: From a delayed oscillator to a series of events
Abstract The NCAR Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3) exhibits
persistent errors in its simulation of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) mode of …
persistent errors in its simulation of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) mode of …
Current status of ENSO prediction skill in coupled ocean–atmosphere models
The overall skill of ENSO prediction in retrospective forecasts made with ten different
coupled GCMs is investigated. The coupled GCM datasets of the APCC/CliPAS and …
coupled GCMs is investigated. The coupled GCM datasets of the APCC/CliPAS and …
[PDF][PDF] Consensus between GCM climate change projections with empirical downscaling: precipitation downscaling over South Africa
BC Hewitson, RG Crane - International Journal of Climatology: A Journal …, 2006 - Citeseer
This paper discusses issues that surround the development of empirical downscaling
techniques as context for presenting a new approach based on self-organizing maps …
techniques as context for presenting a new approach based on self-organizing maps …
[HTML][HTML] Detection and attribution of twentieth-century northern and southern African rainfall change
Rayner, NA, DE Parker, EB Horton, CK Folland, LV Alexander, DP Rowell, EC Kent, and A.
Kaplan, 2003: Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air …
Kaplan, 2003: Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air …