Mechanisms and impacts of Earth system tip** elements

S Wang, A Foster, EA Lenz, JD Kessler… - Reviews of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Tip** elements are components of the Earth system which may respond nonlinearly to
anthropogenic climate change by transitioning toward substantially different long‐term …

Wind-wave climate changes and their impacts

M Casas-Prat, MA Hemer, G Dodet, J Morim… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2024 - nature.com
Wind-waves have an important role in Earth system dynamics through air–sea interactions
and are key drivers of coastal and offshore hydro-morphodynamics that affect communities …

Exceeding 1.5 C global warming could trigger multiple climate tip** points

DI Armstrong McKay, A Staal, JF Abrams… - Science, 2022 - science.org
Climate tip** points occur when change in a part of the climate system becomes self-
perpetuating beyond a warming threshold, leading to substantial Earth system impacts …

The Arctic has warmed nearly four times faster than the globe since 1979

M Rantanen, AY Karpechko, A Lipponen… - … earth & environment, 2022 - nature.com
In recent decades, the warming in the Arctic has been much faster than in the rest of the
world, a phenomenon known as Arctic amplification. Numerous studies report that the Arctic …

Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information

JY Lee, J Marotzke, G Bala, L Cao, S Corti… - Climate change 2021 …, 2021 - cambridge.org
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …

Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario

YH Kim, SK Min, NP Gillett, D Notz… - Nature Communications, 2023 - nature.com
The sixth assessment report of the IPCC assessed that the Arctic is projected to be on
average practically ice-free in September near mid-century under intermediate and high …

Human influence on the climate system (Chapter 3)

V Eyring, NP Gillett, KM Achuta Rao, R Barimalala… - 2021 - pure.iiasa.ac.at
The AR5 concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear, evident from
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …

Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning

TR Andersson, JS Hosking, M Pérez-Ortiz… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
Anthropogenic warming has led to an unprecedented year-round reduction in Arctic sea ice
extent. This has far-reaching consequences for indigenous and local communities, polar …

Increase in Arctic coastal erosion and its sensitivity to warming in the twenty-first century

DM Nielsen, P Pieper, A Barkhordarian… - Nature Climate …, 2022 - nature.com
Arctic coastal erosion damages infrastructure, threatens coastal communities and releases
organic carbon from permafrost. However, the magnitude, timing and sensitivity of coastal …

Trends and variability in polar sea ice, global atmospheric circulations, and baroclinicity

I Simmonds, M Li - Annals of the New York Academy of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
We analyze the polar sea ice distribution and the global sea level pressure (SLP) and
baroclinicity distributions over the “satellite” period of 1979–2020. In the Arctic, there are …