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Vegetation demographics in Earth System Models: A review of progress and priorities
Numerous current efforts seek to improve the representation of ecosystem ecology and
vegetation demographic processes within Earth System Models (ESM s). These …
vegetation demographic processes within Earth System Models (ESM s). These …
Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change
In recent years, an evaluation technique for Earth System Models (ESMs) has arisen—
emergent constraints (ECs)—which rely on strong statistical relationships between aspects …
emergent constraints (ECs)—which rely on strong statistical relationships between aspects …
Twenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 model projections
Anthropogenic climate change is projected to lead to ocean warming, acidification,
deoxygenation, reductions in near-surface nutrients, and changes to primary production, all …
deoxygenation, reductions in near-surface nutrients, and changes to primary production, all …
Causes of higher climate sensitivity in CMIP6 models
Equilibrium climate sensitivity, the global surface temperature response to CO doubling, has
been persistently uncertain. Recent consensus places it likely within 1.5–4.5 K. Global …
been persistently uncertain. Recent consensus places it likely within 1.5–4.5 K. Global …
[HTML][HTML] Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
Partitioning uncertainty in projections of future climate change into contributions from
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …
Framing, Context, and Methods (Chapter 1)
Working Group I (WGI) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assesses
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …
Microclimate and forest density drive plant population dynamics under climate change
Macroclimatic changes are impacting ecosystems worldwide. However, a large portion of
terrestrial species live under conditions where impacts of macroclimate change are buffered …
terrestrial species live under conditions where impacts of macroclimate change are buffered …
Different facets of the same niche: Integrating citizen science and scientific survey data to predict biological invasion risk under multiple global change drivers
Citizen science initiatives have been increasingly used by researchers as a source of
occurrence data to model the distribution of alien species. Since citizen science presence …
occurrence data to model the distribution of alien species. Since citizen science presence …
Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence
The sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) constitutes the latest update on
expected future climate change based on a new generation of climate models. To extract …
expected future climate change based on a new generation of climate models. To extract …
[HTML][HTML] Climate change and the Syrian civil war revisited
For proponents of the view that anthropogenic climate change will become a 'threat
multiplier'for instability in the decades ahead, the Syrian civil war has become a recurring …
multiplier'for instability in the decades ahead, the Syrian civil war has become a recurring …