Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change

A Hall, P Cox, C Huntingford, S Klein - Nature Climate Change, 2019 - nature.com
In recent years, an evaluation technique for Earth System Models (ESMs) has arisen—
emergent constraints (ECs)—which rely on strong statistical relationships between aspects …

Ocean biogeochemical modelling

K Fennel, JP Mattern, SC Doney, L Bopp… - Nature Reviews …, 2022 - nature.com
Ocean biogeochemical models describe the ocean's circulation, physical properties,
biogeochemical properties and their transformations using coupled differential equations …

Global carbon and other biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks

JG Canadell, PMS Monteiro, MH Costa… - IPCC AR6 WGI, final …, 2021 - hal.science
ES 6: 3-5 Replace “It is unequivocal that emissions of the well-mixed greenhouse gases
(GHG) carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2 O) from human activities …

Global analysis of ocean phytoplankton nutrient limitation reveals high prevalence of co-limitation

TJ Browning, CM Moore - Nature Communications, 2023 - nature.com
Nutrient availability limits phytoplankton growth throughout much of the global ocean. Here
we synthesize available experimental data to identify three dominant nutrient limitation …

Twenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 model projections

L Kwiatkowski, O Torres, L Bopp, O Aumont… - …, 2020 - bg.copernicus.org
Anthropogenic climate change is projected to lead to ocean warming, acidification,
deoxygenation, reductions in near-surface nutrients, and changes to primary production, all …

Changing ocean, marine ecosystems, and dependent communities

NL Bindoff, WWL Cheung, JG Kairo, J Arístegui… - 2019 - ri.conicet.gov.ar
The ocean is a key component of the Earth system (Chapter 1) as it provides essential life
supporting services (Inniss et al. 2017). For example, it stores heat trapped in the …

Next-generation ensemble projections reveal higher climate risks for marine ecosystems

DP Tittensor, C Novaglio, CS Harrison… - Nature Climate …, 2021 - nature.com
Projections of climate change impacts on marine ecosystems have revealed long-term
declines in global marine animal biomass and unevenly distributed impacts on fisheries …

Global aquaculture productivity, environmental sustainability, and climate change adaptability

N Ahmed, S Thompson, M Glaser - Environmental management, 2019 - Springer
To meet the demand for food from a growing global population, aquaculture production is
under great pressure to increase as capture fisheries have stagnated. However, aquaculture …

Persistent uncertainties in ocean net primary production climate change projections at regional scales raise challenges for assessing impacts on ecosystem services

A Tagliabue, L Kwiatkowski, L Bopp… - Frontiers in …, 2021 - frontiersin.org
Ocean net primary production (NPP) results from CO2 fixation by marine phytoplankton,
catalysing the transfer of organic matter and energy to marine ecosystems, supporting most …

Taking climate model evaluation to the next level

V Eyring, PM Cox, GM Flato, PJ Gleckler… - Nature Climate …, 2019 - nature.com
Earth system models are complex and represent a large number of processes, resulting in a
persistent spread across climate projections for a given future scenario. Owing to different …