The themes explored in this book began with a paper written by two of the authors (Russo
and Williamson 2007), which set out the core idea of evidential pluralism in the context of …

Large infrastructure projects often suffer from cost and schedule overruns, mainly due to
optimism bias and strategic misrepresentation. Reference class forecasting (RCF) offers a …

Uncertainty is pervasive in ecology where the difficulties of dealing with sources of
uncertainty are exacerbated by variation in the system itself. Attempts at classifying …

There are currently two robust traditions in philosophy dealing with doxastic attitudes: the
tradition that is concerned primarily with all-or-nothing belief, and the tradition that is …

Este libro aporta al debate de la concepción racional de la prueba una pieza faltante: una
teoría sobre los estándares de prueba, sus funciones, la manera en que deben ser …

This book outlines how to conduct a complete environmental risk assessment. The first part
documents the psychology and philosophy of risk perception and assessment, introducing a …

In conservation biology it is necessary to make management decisions for endangered and
threatened species under severe uncertainty. Failure to acknowledge and treat uncertainty …

A bus causes harm. In the first scenario, an eyewitness recognizes the bus as belonging to
the Blue Bus Company. The witness, however, is imperfectly reliable; let us say that she is …

In many areas of life, from hard science to managing oneÕs everyday affairs, explanatory
considerations help to guide inference. From the fact that some proposition would explain a …

Could it be right to convict and punish defendants using only statistical evidence? In this
paper, I argue that it is not and explain why it would be wrong. This is difficult to do because …