Spatiotemporal forecasting in earth system science: Methods, uncertainties, predictability and future directions

L Xu, N Chen, Z Chen, C Zhang, H Yu - Earth-Science Reviews, 2021 - Elsevier
Spatiotemporal forecasting (STF) extends traditional time series forecasting or spatial
interpolation problem to space and time dimensions. Here, we review the statistical, physical …

Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study

Y Tang, RH Zhang, T Liu, W Duan, D Yang… - National Science …, 2018 - academic.oup.com
ENSO is the strongest interannual signal in the global climate system with worldwide
climatic, ecological and societal impacts. Over the past decades, the research about ENSO …

Estimating subsurface horizontal and vertical velocities from sea-surface temperature

JH LaCasce, A Mahadevan - 2006 - elischolar.library.yale.edu
We examine a dynamical method for estimating subsurface fields (density, pressure,
horizontal and vertical velocities) in the upper ocean using sea-surface temperature (SST) …

A new nudging scheme for the current operational climate prediction system of the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center of China

X Song, X Li, S Zhang, Y Li, X Chen, Y Tang… - Acta Oceanologica …, 2022 - Springer
A new nudging scheme is proposed for the operational prediction system of the National
Marine Environmental Forecasting Center (NMEFC) of China, mainly aimed at improving El …

[HTML][HTML] Interdecadal variation of ENSO predictability in multiple models

Y Tang, Z Deng, X Zhou, Y Cheng… - Journal of Climate, 2008 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract In this study, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) retrospective forecasts were
performed for the 120 yr from 1881 to 2000 using three realistic models that assimilate the …

A coupled method for initializing El Nino Southern Oscillation forecasts using sea surface temperature

N Keenlyside, M Latif, M Botzet… - Tellus A: Dynamic …, 2005 - Taylor & Francis
A simple method for initializing coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) using only sea
surface temperature (SST) data is comprehensively tested in an extended set of ensemble …

Increasingly important role of numerical modeling in oceanic observation design strategy: A review

K Zhang, M Mu, Q Wang - Science China Earth Sciences, 2020 - Springer
Oceanic observation design is of considerable significance and has made remarkable
progress during the past several decades. This study addresses the critical role of numerical …

Using an ensemble nonlinear forcing singular vector data assimilation approach to address the ENSO forecast uncertainties caused by the “spring predictability …

Y Zheng, W Duan, L Tao, J Ma - Climate Dynamics, 2023 - Springer
An ensemble data assimilation approach for El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
forecasting is proposed by embedding nonlinear forcing singular vector-data assimilation …

Improvement of an extended ensemble coupled data Assimilation–Forecast system and its application in El Niño diversity predictions

Y Gao, J Zhang, K Liu, H Chen, M Xu - Ocean & Coastal Management, 2024 - Elsevier
Abstract The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) can cause climate anomalies on a global
scale, and further affect human life and activities in coastal zones. Therefore, its forecast is of …

Treating strong adjoint sensitivities in tropical eddy‐permitting variational data assimilation

I Hoteit, B Cornuelle, A Köhl… - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
A variational data assimilation system has been implemented for the tropical Pacific Ocean
using an eddy‐permitting regional implementation of the MITgcm. The adjoint assimilation …