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Spatiotemporal forecasting in earth system science: Methods, uncertainties, predictability and future directions
Spatiotemporal forecasting (STF) extends traditional time series forecasting or spatial
interpolation problem to space and time dimensions. Here, we review the statistical, physical …
interpolation problem to space and time dimensions. Here, we review the statistical, physical …
Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study
ENSO is the strongest interannual signal in the global climate system with worldwide
climatic, ecological and societal impacts. Over the past decades, the research about ENSO …
climatic, ecological and societal impacts. Over the past decades, the research about ENSO …
Estimating subsurface horizontal and vertical velocities from sea-surface temperature
JH LaCasce, A Mahadevan - 2006 - elischolar.library.yale.edu
We examine a dynamical method for estimating subsurface fields (density, pressure,
horizontal and vertical velocities) in the upper ocean using sea-surface temperature (SST) …
horizontal and vertical velocities) in the upper ocean using sea-surface temperature (SST) …
A new nudging scheme for the current operational climate prediction system of the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center of China
A new nudging scheme is proposed for the operational prediction system of the National
Marine Environmental Forecasting Center (NMEFC) of China, mainly aimed at improving El …
Marine Environmental Forecasting Center (NMEFC) of China, mainly aimed at improving El …
[HTML][HTML] Interdecadal variation of ENSO predictability in multiple models
Abstract In this study, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) retrospective forecasts were
performed for the 120 yr from 1881 to 2000 using three realistic models that assimilate the …
performed for the 120 yr from 1881 to 2000 using three realistic models that assimilate the …
A coupled method for initializing El Nino Southern Oscillation forecasts using sea surface temperature
A simple method for initializing coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) using only sea
surface temperature (SST) data is comprehensively tested in an extended set of ensemble …
surface temperature (SST) data is comprehensively tested in an extended set of ensemble …
Increasingly important role of numerical modeling in oceanic observation design strategy: A review
Oceanic observation design is of considerable significance and has made remarkable
progress during the past several decades. This study addresses the critical role of numerical …
progress during the past several decades. This study addresses the critical role of numerical …
Using an ensemble nonlinear forcing singular vector data assimilation approach to address the ENSO forecast uncertainties caused by the “spring predictability …
Y Zheng, W Duan, L Tao, J Ma - Climate Dynamics, 2023 - Springer
An ensemble data assimilation approach for El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
forecasting is proposed by embedding nonlinear forcing singular vector-data assimilation …
forecasting is proposed by embedding nonlinear forcing singular vector-data assimilation …
Improvement of an extended ensemble coupled data Assimilation–Forecast system and its application in El Niño diversity predictions
Y Gao, J Zhang, K Liu, H Chen, M Xu - Ocean & Coastal Management, 2024 - Elsevier
Abstract The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) can cause climate anomalies on a global
scale, and further affect human life and activities in coastal zones. Therefore, its forecast is of …
scale, and further affect human life and activities in coastal zones. Therefore, its forecast is of …
Treating strong adjoint sensitivities in tropical eddy‐permitting variational data assimilation
A variational data assimilation system has been implemented for the tropical Pacific Ocean
using an eddy‐permitting regional implementation of the MITgcm. The adjoint assimilation …
using an eddy‐permitting regional implementation of the MITgcm. The adjoint assimilation …