Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis at regional and national scales: State of the art and future challenges
Seismic hazard modeling is a multidisciplinary science that aims to forecast earthquake
occurrence and its resultant ground shaking. Such models consist of a probabilistic …
occurrence and its resultant ground shaking. Such models consist of a probabilistic …
Recent and future developments in earthquake ground motion estimation
Seismic hazard analyses (SHA) are routinely carried out around the world to understand the
hazard, and consequently the risk, posed by earthquake activity. Whether single scenario …
hazard, and consequently the risk, posed by earthquake activity. Whether single scenario …
Empirical ground-motion models for point-and extended-source crustal earthquake scenarios in Europe and the Middle East
This article presents the latest generation of ground-motion models for the prediction of
elastic response (pseudo-) spectral accelerations, as well as peak ground acceleration and …
elastic response (pseudo-) spectral accelerations, as well as peak ground acceleration and …
Empirical equations for the prediction of PGA, PGV, and spectral accelerations in Europe, the Mediterranean region, and the Middle East
The true performance of ground-motion prediction equations is often not fully appreciated
until they are used in practice for seismic hazard analyses and applied to a wide range of …
until they are used in practice for seismic hazard analyses and applied to a wide range of …
On the selection of ground-motion prediction equations for seismic hazard analysis
A key element in any seismic hazard analysis is the selection of appropriate ground-motion
prediction equations (GMPEs). In an earlier paper, focused on the selection and adjustment …
prediction equations (GMPEs). In an earlier paper, focused on the selection and adjustment …
Criteria for selecting and adjusting ground-motion models for specific target regions: Application to central Europe and rock sites
A vital component of any seismic hazard analysis is a model for predicting the expected
distribution of ground motions at a site due to possible earthquake scenarios. The limited …
distribution of ground motions at a site due to possible earthquake scenarios. The limited …
Empirical equations for the prediction of the significant, bracketed, and uniform duration of earthquake ground motion
The complete characterization of earthquake ground motion includes the length of the
interval of strong shaking as well as the amplitude and frequency content of the time series …
interval of strong shaking as well as the amplitude and frequency content of the time series …
Why do modern probabilistic seismic-hazard analyses often lead to increased hazard estimates?
The basic elements of probabilistic seismic-hazard analysis (psha) were established almost
four decades ago and psha has now become the most widely used approach for estimating …
four decades ago and psha has now become the most widely used approach for estimating …
Probabilistic risk analysis and terrorism risk
Since the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, and the subsequent establishment of the
US Department of Homeland Security (DHS), considerable efforts have been made to …
US Department of Homeland Security (DHS), considerable efforts have been made to …
A probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for Indonesia
Probabilistic hazard assessments are a fundamental tool for assessing the threats posed by
hazards to communities and are important for underpinning evidence-based decision …
hazards to communities and are important for underpinning evidence-based decision …