Modeling and prediction of aftershock activity

S Baranov, C Narteau, P Shebalin - Surveys in Geophysics, 2022 - Springer
We provide an overview of the basic models of the aftershock processes and advanced
methods used to predict postseismic hazard. We consider both the physical mechanisms for …

The effect of a mainshock on the size distribution of the aftershocks

L Gulia, AP Rinaldi, T Tormann… - Geophysical …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
A systematic decay of the aftershock rate over time is one of the most fundamental empirical
laws in Earth science. However, the equally fundamental effect of a mainshock on the size …

Earthquake nucleation characteristics revealed by seismicity response to seasonal stress variations induced by gas production at Groningen

M Acosta, JP Avouac, JD Smith… - Geophysical …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Deterministic earthquake prediction remains elusive, but time‐dependent probabilistic
seismicity forecasting seems within reach thanks to the development of physics‐based …

On the relationship between strain rate and seismicity in the India–Asia collision zone: implications for probabilistic seismic hazard

VL Stevens, JP Avouac - Geophysical Journal International, 2021 - academic.oup.com
The increasing density of geodetic measurements makes it possible to map surface strain
rate in many zones of active tectonics with unprecedented spatial resolution. Here we show …

The 2020 Westmorland, California earthquake swarm as aftershocks of a slow slip event sustained by fluid flow

K Sirorattanakul, ZE Ross… - Journal of …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Swarms are bursts of earthquakes without an obvious mainshock. Some have been
observed to be associated with transient aseismic fault slip, while others are thought to be …

Stress‐based and convolutional forecasting of injection‐induced seismicity: Application to the Otaniemi geothermal reservoir stimulation

T Kim, JP Avouac - Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Induced seismicity observed during Enhanced Geothermal Stimulation at Otaniemi, Finland
is modeled using both statistical and physical approaches. The physical model produces …

What controls the presence and characteristics of aftershocks in rock fracture in the lab?

J Davidsen, T Goebel, G Kwiatek… - Journal of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Aftershock cascades are a characteristic feature of natural seismicity, but underlying
mechanisms remain debated. Here, we experimentally explore the presence or absence of …

Depletion‐induced seismicity at the Groningen gas field: Coulomb rate‐and‐state models including differential compaction effect

T Candela, S Osinga, JP Ampuero… - Journal of …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
We implement a Coulomb rate‐and‐state approach to explore the nonlinear relation
between stressing rate and seismicity rate in the Groningen gas field. Coulomb stress rates …

The predictive skills of elastic Coulomb rate‐and‐state aftershock forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake sequence

S Mancini, M Segou, MJ Werner… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Operational earthquake forecasting protocols commonly use statistical models for their
recognized ease of implementation and robustness in describing the short‐term …

Transient and steady‐state friction in non‐isobaric conditions

S Barbot - Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
The frictional properties of faults control the initiation and propagation of earthquakes and
the associated hazards. Although the ambient temperature and instantaneous slip velocity …