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Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review
Forecast combinations have flourished remarkably in the forecasting community and, in
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …
[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
[HTML][HTML] Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future
R Weron - International journal of forecasting, 2014 - Elsevier
A variety of methods and ideas have been tried for electricity price forecasting (EPF) over the
last 15 years, with varying degrees of success. This review article aims to explain the …
last 15 years, with varying degrees of success. This review article aims to explain the …
[KNYGA][B] Handbook of economic expectations
R Bachmann, G Topa, W van der Klaauw - 2022 - books.google.com
Handbook of Economic Expectations discusses the state-of-the-art in the collection, study
and use of expectations data in economics, including the modelling of expectations …
and use of expectations data in economics, including the modelling of expectations …
Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings
In the practice of point prediction, it is desirable that forecasters receive a directive in the
form of a statistical functional. For example, forecasters might be asked to report the mean or …
form of a statistical functional. For example, forecasters might be asked to report the mean or …
Bayesian forecasting in economics and finance: A modern review
The Bayesian statistical paradigm provides a principled and coherent approach to
probabilistic forecasting. Uncertainty about all unknowns that characterize any forecasting …
probabilistic forecasting. Uncertainty about all unknowns that characterize any forecasting …
Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis in time series forecasting
We discuss model and forecast combination in time series forecasting. A foundational
Bayesian perspective based on agent opinion analysis theory defines a new framework for …
Bayesian perspective based on agent opinion analysis theory defines a new framework for …
Dynamic prediction pools: An investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance
We apply a novel methodology for estimating time-varying weights in linear prediction pools,
which we call Dynamic Pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance …
which we call Dynamic Pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance …
On the correlation between commodity and equity returns: Implications for portfolio allocation
In recent years several commentators hinted at an increase of the correlation between equity
and commodity returns, blaming for that surging investment in commodity-related products …
and commodity returns, blaming for that surging investment in commodity-related products …
The combination of interval forecasts in tourism
Combination is an effective way to improve tourism forecasting accuracy. However,
empirical evidence is limited to point forecasts. Given that interval forecasts can provide …
empirical evidence is limited to point forecasts. Given that interval forecasts can provide …