Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review

X Wang, RJ Hyndman, F Li, Y Kang - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
Forecast combinations have flourished remarkably in the forecasting community and, in
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …

[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice

F Petropoulos, D Apiletti, V Assimakopoulos… - International Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …

[HTML][HTML] Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future

R Weron - International journal of forecasting, 2014 - Elsevier
A variety of methods and ideas have been tried for electricity price forecasting (EPF) over the
last 15 years, with varying degrees of success. This review article aims to explain the …

[KNYGA][B] Handbook of economic expectations

R Bachmann, G Topa, W van der Klaauw - 2022 - books.google.com
Handbook of Economic Expectations discusses the state-of-the-art in the collection, study
and use of expectations data in economics, including the modelling of expectations …

Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings

W Ehm, T Gneiting, A Jordan… - Journal of the Royal …, 2016 - academic.oup.com
In the practice of point prediction, it is desirable that forecasters receive a directive in the
form of a statistical functional. For example, forecasters might be asked to report the mean or …

Bayesian forecasting in economics and finance: A modern review

GM Martin, DT Frazier, W Maneesoonthorn… - International Journal of …, 2024 - Elsevier
The Bayesian statistical paradigm provides a principled and coherent approach to
probabilistic forecasting. Uncertainty about all unknowns that characterize any forecasting …

Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis in time series forecasting

K McAlinn, M West - Journal of econometrics, 2019 - Elsevier
We discuss model and forecast combination in time series forecasting. A foundational
Bayesian perspective based on agent opinion analysis theory defines a new framework for …

Dynamic prediction pools: An investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance

M Del Negro, RB Hasegawa, F Schorfheide - Journal of Econometrics, 2016 - Elsevier
We apply a novel methodology for estimating time-varying weights in linear prediction pools,
which we call Dynamic Pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance …

On the correlation between commodity and equity returns: Implications for portfolio allocation

MJ Lombardi, F Ravazzolo - Journal of Commodity Markets, 2016 - Elsevier
In recent years several commentators hinted at an increase of the correlation between equity
and commodity returns, blaming for that surging investment in commodity-related products …

The combination of interval forecasts in tourism

G Li, DC Wu, M Zhou, A Liu - Annals of Tourism Research, 2019 - Elsevier
Combination is an effective way to improve tourism forecasting accuracy. However,
empirical evidence is limited to point forecasts. Given that interval forecasts can provide …