Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

BC O'Neill, TR Carter, K Ebi, PA Harrison… - Nature climate …, 2020 - nature.com
Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global
environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change …

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview

K Riahi, DP Van Vuuren, E Kriegler, J Edmonds… - Global environmental …, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper presents the overview of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their
energy, land use, and emissions implications. The SSPs are part of a new scenario …

The scenario model intercomparison project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

BC O'Neill, C Tebaldi, DP Van Vuuren… - Geoscientific Model …, 2016 - gmd.copernicus.org
Projections of future climate change play a fundamental role in improving understanding of
the climate system as well as characterizing societal risks and response options. The …

Projected impacts of climate change on drought patterns over East Africa

GG Haile, Q Tang, SM Hosseini‐Moghari, X Liu… - Earth's …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Investigation of the pressing impacts of climate change on drought is vital for sustainable
societal and ecosystem functioning. The magnitude of how much the drought will change …

Afforestation for climate change mitigation: Potentials, risks and trade‐offs

JC Doelman, E Stehfest, DP van Vuuren… - Global Change …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Afforestation is considered a cost‐effective and readily available climate change mitigation
option. In recent studies afforestation is presented as a major solution to limit climate …

[HTML][HTML] The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century

O Fricko, P Havlik, J Rogelj, Z Klimont, M Gusti… - Global Environmental …, 2017 - Elsevier
Studies of global environmental change make extensive use of scenarios to explore how the
future can evolve under a consistent set of assumptions. The recently developed Shared …

Long-term economic growth projections in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

R Dellink, J Chateau, E Lanzi, B Magné - Global Environmental Change, 2017 - Elsevier
Long-term economic scenarios (up to 2100) are needed as a basis to explore possible
different futures for major environmental challenges, including climate change. Given the …

A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways

BC O'Neill, E Kriegler, K Riahi, KL Ebi, S Hallegatte… - Climatic change, 2014 - Springer
The new scenario framework for climate change research envisions combining pathways of
future radiative forcing and their associated climate changes with alternative pathways of …

The inter-sectoral impact model intercomparison project (ISI–MIP): project framework

L Warszawski, K Frieler, V Huber… - Proceedings of the …, 2014 - National Acad Sciences
The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project offers a framework to compare
climate impact projections in different sectors and at different scales. Consistent climate and …

Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change

J Elliott, D Deryng, C Müller, K Frieler… - Proceedings of the …, 2014 - National Acad Sciences
We compare ensembles of water supply and demand projections from 10 global
hydrological models and six global gridded crop models. These are produced as part of the …